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Photo credit: WCEE2024 website (https://www.wcee2024.it/about-wcee2024/)
OVERVIEW
The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation is proud to be a key participant at the 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE2024) in Milan, Italy, taking place from June 30th to July 5th, 2024. GEM will be taking a lead role in a number of technical sessions focused on Seismic Hazard and Risk (SHR), showcasing the latest advancements and future directions in the field.
For more details, please check the Registration section below.
Convenors
ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS
Marzia Santini
EU JRC
Hugo Rodrigues
University of Aveiro
Daniel Emilio
University of Aveiro
Daniel Gomez
GEM
Catalina Yepes
GEM
More invited speakers coming soon!
AGENDA
ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS
Seismic hazard analysis provides essential information for the design of buildings, the update of national building codes and the assessment of various risk metrics. The methodologies used for assessing the hazard are constantly evolving to account for the progress made in several related disciplines, including but not limited to earthquake geology, geophysics and particularly seismology, geodesy, engineering seismology and earthquake engineering. Recently published hazard analyses show, for example, an increasing preference to model fault sources as a system without any a-priori assumption on segmentation and a more widespread use of methods inherited from statistical seismology to test the consistency between the forecasted seismicity and the one included in seismicity catalogues. On the ground-motion modelling side, emerging methodologies include modelling epistemic uncertainties based on backbone approaches and more extensive use of fully and partially non-ergodic ground motion models. Using many of these new approaches, primarily when the analyses cover large areas, remains challenging. This session will include contributions describing novel approaches for developing components of hazard input models or presenting hazard analyses performed for various applications and scales, from site-specific studies to national and regional hazard analyses.
Auditorium
Time | Title | Speaker | Organisation |
|---|---|---|---|
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
Session: GEM Global Release 2026 | |||
Daniel Gomez | |||
Marzia Santini | |||
Hugo Rodrigues | |||
Daniel Emilio | |||
Catalina Yepes | |||
Catarina Costa | |||
Lana Todorovic | |||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Karim Aljawhari | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
09:30 - 10:00 | National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region | Mukat Lal Sharma | Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee |
10:00 - 10:30 | From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project | Carlos Costa | Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes | Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio | University of Bristol, UK |
11:45 - 12:15 | Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment | Faouzi Gherboudj | Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria |
12:15 - 12:45 | Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium) | ||
09:00 - 09:30 | Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models | Jochen Woessner | Moody's RMS, Switzerland |
09:00 - 09:30 | Australian National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) | Trevor Allen | Geoscience Australia |
09:30 - 10:00 | Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands | Céline Beauval | ISTerre, France |
10:00 - 10:30 | New Zealand NSHM | Matt Gerstenberger | Earth Sciences New Zealand |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges | Asako Iwaki | NIED, Japan |
11:45 - 12:15 | The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes | Nico Luco | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:15 - 12:45 | Swiss NSHM | Laurentiu Danciu | SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
14:15 - 14:45 | Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025 | Chung-Han Chan | Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Taiwan |
14:45 - 15:15 | Italian NSHM | Akinci and D'Amico | INGV, Italy |
15:15 - 15:45 | Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models | Michal Kolaj | Natural Resources Canada |
15:45 - 16:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
16:30 - 17:00 | Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift | Mohammed Al-Ajamee | University of Khartoum, Sudan |
17:00 - 17:30 | NSHM Guidelines | ||
17:30 - 18:00 | Discussion | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 3 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards Moderator: Indranil Kongar, University College London | |||
09:10 - 09:25 | The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress | Stefano Lorito | INGV, Italy |
09:25 - 09:40 | From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience | Naveen Ragu Ramalingam^ | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
09:40 - 09:55 | Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations | Preetish Kakoty | University College London, UK |
09:55 - 10:10 | A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment | Ömer Faruk Kalayci* | Istanbul Technical University, Turkey |
10:10 - 10:25 | Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter? | Cecilia Nievas | GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany |
10:25 - 10:40 | Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia | Ekbal Hussain | British Geological Survey |
10:40 - 11:25 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response Moderator: Alexandru Tiganescu | |||
11:25 - 11:40 | Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using EBSPRA? | Azdine Kay Ysulan* | Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology |
11:40 - 11:55 | Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps | David Wald | U.S. Geological Survey |
11:55 - 12:10 | Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response | Kishor Jaiswal | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:10 - 12:25 | Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment | Finn Løvholt | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
12:25 - 12:45 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Marzia Santini | Joint Research Centre, Italy |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch / Governing Board Meeting | ||
15:00 | Field Trip | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 2 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling Moderator: TBD | |||
09:10 - 09:30 | Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation | Carmine Galasso | University College London, UK |
09:30 - 09:45 | Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data | Christian Geiß | German Aerospace Center |
09:45 - 10:00 | Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning | Joshua Dimasaka* | University of Cambridge, UK |
10:00 - 10:15 | Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally | Nicole Paul | University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland |
10:15 - 10:30 | Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda | Morris Oleng* | National Building Review Board, Uganda |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Next Generation Vulnerability Moderator: Ana Beatriz Acevedo, EAFIT University, Colombia | |||
11:30 - 11:45 | A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings | Angga Sabaruliman | The University of Sydney, Australia |
11:45 - 12:00 | Integrated Seismic Risk Assessment for Masonry Structures in the Marmara Region: AEM-Based Simulations and PML Comparative Analysis | Seyhan Okuyan Akcan^ | Boğaziçi University, Turkey |
12:00 - 12:15 | Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting | Ante Pilipović | University of Zagreb, Croatia |
12:15 - 12:30 | From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models | Gerard O'Reilly | IUSS Pavia, Italy |
12:30 - 12:45 | Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon (title TBD) | Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | |||
14:15 - 14:30 | Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation | Veronica Cedillos | GeoHazards International, USA |
14:30 - 14:45 | Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools | Sweata Sijapati* | GeoHazards International, Nepal |
14:45 - 15:00 | From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model | Carlos Molina Hutt | University of British Columbia, Canada |
15:00 - 15:15 | Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia) | Ana Beatriz Acevedo | EAFIT University, Colombia |
15:15 - 15:45 | Panel Taking stock: Measuring impact in disaster risk reduction
Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | ||
15:45 - 16:45 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Financial Risk Transfer Moderator: Laurie Johnson, Laurie Johnson Consulting | |||
16:45 - 17:00 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Iwan Stalder | Zurich Insurance, Switzerland |
17:00 - 17:15 | Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco | Evan Reis | Safehub, USA |
17:15 - 17:30 | GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry | Molly Gallahue | Gallagher Re, UK |
17:30 - 17:45 | Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model | Robert Churchill | Guy Carpenter, UK |
17:45 - 18:00 | Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy | Abril Sanchez | Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic |
Furkan Narlitepe | IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation | ||
Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Institutional Welcome | TBD | |
09:10 - 09:20 | CCEE and GEM | Josip Atalic | University of Zagreb |
09:20 - 09:30 | Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
09:30 - 10:00 | Global Seismic Hazard v2026 | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
10:00 - 10:30 | Global Seismic Risk v2026 | Vitor Silva | GEM Foundation |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters | ||
11:30 - 13:00 | GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic | Kendra Johnson | GEM Foundation |
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database) | Richard Styron | GEM Foundation | |
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS) | Manuela Vilani | GEM Foundation | |
Global Earthquake Catalogue | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM Foundation | |
Global Ground Motion Flat File | Christopher Brooks | GEM Foundation | |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch | ||
14:30 - 14:45 | GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework | Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation |
A Complete Guide to GEM Presentations
GEM-led SESSIONS
SHR2 - Advances in Seismic Hazard Analysis
SHR3 - Managing Earthquake Risk Through Multi-Lateral Partnerships
SHR9 - National Seismic Risk Modelling Efforts: Challenges, Achievements and Future Goals
OTHER SESSIONS OF INTEREST
SHR1 - Seismic Risk Models For Decision Support: Advancements And Applications
SHR6/12 - Macroseismology: Current Studies And Future Directions
SHR11 - Advances in The Seismic Hazard And Risk Assessment Of Nuclear Power Plants
SHR13/14 - High-Resolution Simulation Of Regional Earthquake Risk And Recovery
SHR15 - Recent Advances in Regional Risk Assessment
SHR16/19 - New Data And Cutting-Edge Technologies For Seismic Hazard Assessment And Risk Mitigation
SHR17 - Hazard And Loss Modelling Under The Lessons Learned From Recent Earthquakes
TNM1/4/6 - Tsunamis: Preparedness, Engineering And Risk
ASR3/4 - Risk-Based Assessment Methods and Retrofitting Strategies: Synergies Between Seismic, Energy and Environmental Behavior BCI5 - Large-Scale Simulations for Vulnerability and Resilience Analyses of Critical Infrastructures
GEM Presentations/Activities
Date/Time | Location | Session/Topic | Speaker |
July 1 Mon 15:09 - 15:15 | Suite 9 | SHR3 - Is GEM (Global Earthquake Model) making a difference? | John Schneider |
15:10 - 15:20 | Monitor 13 | GRM5 - Ground Motion Characterization for the 2023 Albania National Seismic Hazard Model | Christopher Brooks |
July 2 Tue 09:11 - 09:21 | Amber 7 | BCI5 - Assessing the Accessibility to Healthcare Facilities In Urban Centres Following Seismic Events | Catarina Costa |
09:35 - 09:45 | Monitor 24 | SHR3 - State- and Ground Motion-Dependent Fragility Functions of Masonry Buildings Under Seismic Sequences | Marco Baiguera |
09:45 - 09:55 | Amber 5 | SHR2 - GEM's global seismic hazard mosaic: updates since v2018, applications, and upcoming activities | Kendra Johnson |
14:50 - 15:00 | Monitor 2 | SHR9 - Assessing seismic risk for effective disaster management at an urban scale in El Salvador | Alejandro Calderón |
15:18 - 15:30 | Monitor 11 | GEO9 - Validation of Existing Empirical Models for Lateral-Spreading Due to Liquefaction | Lana Todorovic |
16:00 - 19:00 | TBD | Insurance Industry Panel Session and Aperitivo: From Academia to Insurance Industry: What's in it for Earthquake Engineers? (TBC) | hosted by Aon and GEM |
July 3 Wed 09:09 - 09:20 | Amber 5 | SHR11 - METIS Project: GEM’s Contributions To The Hazard Work Package | Marco Pagani |
10:31 - 10:40 | Amber 5 | SHR15 - Global Earthquake Loss Assessment: Where And Why Is Seismic Risk High? | Vitor Silva |
14:50 - 14:59 | Amber 4 | TNM1/4/6 - Predicting Tsunami Inundation and Impacts - Using Offshore Wave Data and ML for Rapid Assessment | Naveen Ragu Ramalingam |
14:55 - 15:03 | Amber 5 | SHR15 - Including Spatial And Inter-Period Correlations In Share-Fate Risk Assessment | Manuela Villani |
15:00 - 15:10 | Amber 5 | SHR 16/19 - A Global Earthquake Scenario Database (ESD) for the Calibration and Verification of Loss Models | Zarin Karim Zadeh |
15:10 - 15:20 | Amber 5 | SHR16 - Advancements In The Earthquake Risk Calculators Of The OpenQuake-Engine | Anirudh Rao |
15:30 - 15:45 | Amber 5 | SHR16 - The Promise Of New Technologies In Earthquake Engineering | Vitor Silva |
16:00 - 19:00 | TBD | Technical sessions and a stakeholder side event with aperitif | Global Tsunami Model (GTM) community |
July 4 Thu 10:00 - 10:12 | Amber 2 | AIM3 - An End-To-End Deep Learning Vulnerability Model for Seismic Risk Assessment | Luís Martins |
10:33 - 10:45 | Monitor 2 | SHR1 - Seismic Risk Assessment For Mitigation And Long-Term Planning At The National And Urban Level | Catalina Yepes-Estrada |
10:41 - 10:51 | Amber 5 | SHR17 - Evaluating The Performance Of Gem's Hazard And Risk Models Following Damaging Earthquakes | Helen Crowley |
11:00 - 11:10 | Amber 6 | ASR3/4 - Towards A Global Seismic Environmental Impact Model | Martina Caruso |
11:35 - 11:48 | Monitor 16 | RES10 - What If the 2015 Gorkha Earthquake Happens Again? How Has Recovery Modified the Risk? | Dev Kumar Maharjan |
17:00 - 18:00 | Plenary | Joyner Lecture: Why seismic hazard modelling has become a risky business | Helen Crowley |
July 5 Fri 10:03 - 10:15 | Suite 6 | NSE2 - A Global Database of Vulnerability Functions for Structural/Non-Structural Components and Contents | Luís Martins |
10:40 - 10:50 | Amber 3 | ASR3/4 - Application of a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Optimal Building Retrofitting | Margherita Buttazzoni |
POSTERS & DEMOS
Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment
REGISTRATION
GEM Package @ WCEE2024
We are proud to be a key participant and supporter of the 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE2024) in Milan, Italy, taking place from June 30th to July 5th, 2024.
We are happy to offer the “GEM Package", which is valid for anyone who is not presenting at the conference, but who wishes to join us for just a few days:
Access on Mon 1st July: 200€
Access on Mon 1st - Tues 2nd July: 350€
Access on Mon 1st - Weds 3rd July: 450€
What's included in the GEM Package
These packages include: admission to all scientific sessions, access to the exhibition area, and all coffee breaks and lunches. All those who register for the GEM package can also access the registration add-ons service that provides the possibility of acquiring tickets for La Scala theatre opera show "Turandot" on Monday 1st July and the Conference Party at Superstudio Maxi on Thursday 4th July.
During the first three days of the conference, you can expect:
Technical sessions led by GEM on advances in seismic hazard modelling, management of earthquake risk, and innovations in national seismic risk modelling.
GEM's exhibition booth where you can explore our open seismic risk assessment resources and engage with our earthquake experts.
A GEM panel discussion followed by a networking and recruitment aperitif (sponsored by Aon) - Tuesday 2nd July (16:00 - 19:00).
Technical sessions and a stakeholder side event with aperitif organised by the Global Tsunami Model (GTM) community - Wednesday 3rd July (16:00 - 19:00).
How to avail of the GEM Package
If you are interested in taking advantage of the GEM Package, please send an email to info@globalquakemodel.org and we will provide you with the dedicated link and password required for registration.
if you wish to attend the full conference week, you can also create an account and register now (without a password) on the WCEE2024 website: https://www.wcee2024.it/ (this would allow you to also follow Helen Crowley's Joyner Lecture on Thursday 4th at 17:00 - 18:00!).
To register, click the button below.
EXHIBITION
Explore open seismic risk resources and chat with our earthquake experts! Visit us at booth B12 (see exhibition plan below).
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LOCATION
HOTEL
The city of Milan offer over 43,000 hotels rooms while in close proximity of MiCo there are more than 1600 sleeping rooms ranging from 5 stars hotels to budget friendly lodge. Major investments in the sector made in recent years allowed Milan to manage the influx of 21 million visitors attending EXPO Milan 2015. Another important international appointment will be held in the next few years in Milan, the Olympics Games 2026.The city accommodation is constantly renewing, and new hotels are opening.
For booking details, please visit: https://www.wcee2024.it/logistics/accommodation/
TRANSPORTATION
Milan is located in the centre of Europe and is one of the easiest cities to reach. Every day 800 direct flights connect Milan to over 200 destinations around the world.
Malpensa airport is the most important intercontinental hub in southern Europe and is well connected to the city center thanks to the high-speed Malpensa Express train.
Two other international airports serve the city: Linate, just 7 km from the Duomo, and Orio al Serio, where the low-cost companies land.
For details, please visit: https://www.wcee2024.it/logistics/arriving-in-milan/
RESOURCES
Available resources at the GEM Booth B12
Videos
Gallery
Brochures & Maps
Recording
Videos
Gallery
Brochures & Maps
Recording