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World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE2024)

June 30 to July 5, 2024

Milan, Italy

Photo credit: WCEE2024 website (https://www.wcee2024.it/about-wcee2024/)

OVERVIEW

The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation is proud to be a key participant at the 18th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering (WCEE2024) in Milan, Italy, taking place from June 30th to July 5th, 2024. GEM will be taking a lead role in a number of technical sessions focused on Seismic Hazard and Risk (SHR), showcasing the latest advancements and future directions in the field.


For more details, please check the Registration section below.

Convenors

ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS

John Schneider

Secretary
General

Ahmet Bu?ra Ceyhan

Claims and Catastrophe Project Management Specialist

Sonia Talwar

Session 1 Moderator

Mami Mizutori

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction,
Head

Intro Panel Moderator:
Michael Ewald (SwissRe)

Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik,
Sinan Akkar,
Jaime Abad
Perez

Helen Crowley

Secretary General

Iain Stewart

Introduction
Moderator

Posters and demos presenters

Vitor Silva

Head of Risk Engineering

Sinan Akkar

Turk Reinsurance Inc.,
Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)

ImageCat, Inc.

1A - Convenor

AGENDA

Session Title

ADVANCES IN SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS

Seismic hazard analysis provides essential information for the design of buildings, the update of national building codes and the assessment of various risk metrics. The methodologies used for assessing the hazard are constantly evolving to account for the progress made in several related disciplines, including but not limited to earthquake geology, geophysics and particularly seismology, geodesy, engineering seismology and earthquake engineering. Recently published hazard analyses show, for example, an increasing preference to model fault sources as a system without any a-priori assumption on segmentation and a more widespread use of methods inherited from statistical seismology to test the consistency between the forecasted seismicity and the one included in seismicity catalogues. On the ground-motion modelling side, emerging methodologies include modelling epistemic uncertainties based on backbone approaches and more extensive use of fully and partially non-ergodic ground motion models. Using many of these new approaches, primarily when the analyses cover large areas, remains challenging. This session will include contributions describing novel approaches for developing components of hazard input models or presenting hazard analyses performed for various applications and scales, from site-specific studies to national and regional hazard analyses.

Time
Topic
Speaker
Organisation
1 July, Monday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Advances in seismic hazard analysis
Marco Pagani
Head of Seismic Hazards, GEM
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 10:30-11:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) and 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5)
Mark D. Petersen
Supervisory Research Geophysicist, USGS
3 July, Wednesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Matt C. Gerstenberger
Seismologist, GNS Science NZ
Time
Topic
Convenor
Organisation
1 July, Monday 10:30-11:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 14:30-15:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Advances in seismic hazard analysis
Marco Pagani
Head of Seismic Hazards, GEM
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 (Stage presentations, Amber 5) and 10:30-11:45 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway) and 14:30-15:45 (Stage presentations, Amber 5)
Mark D. Petersen
Supervisory Research Geophysicist, USGS
3 July, Wednesday 09:00-10:15 (Monitor presentations - Virtual Walkway)
Matt C. Gerstenberger
Seismologist, GNS Science NZ
agenda

A Complete Guide to GEM Presentations

EERI/SSA JOYNER LECTURE

WCEE2024 Secretariat Plenary Talks

Helen Crowley, GEM Secretary General, is set to be honoured with the prestigious Joyner Lecture Award for her distinguished contributions to earthquake science and engineering communication. She will deliver her lecture on April 10th, 2024 at 4:00 PM, Wednesday at the EERI Annual Meeting in Seattle, Washington; on May 2nd at 6:00 PM, 2024 at the SSA Annual Meeting in Anchorage, Alaska; and on July 4th at the 18th WCEE2024. Lecture day: Thursday July 4th, 17:00 - 18:00 Lecture title: Why seismic hazard modelling has become a risky business

TNM-1 TSUNAMI RISK ENGINEERING: AN INTER-DISCIPLINARY CHALLENGE

Convenors: F. Jalayer, K. Goda

Strong tsunamis are low-probability and high-consequence events. They are usually triggered by large subduction earthquakes, such as the 2004 Indian Ocean event. They can also be caused by complex cascades, such as flank collapse caused by the 2018 Anak Krakatau volcanic eruption and the 2018 Sulawesi submarine landslides triggered by a large strike-slip earthquake. They cause havoc and destruction along their paths and can have severe impacts and consequences on communities very far from their points of origin. Tsunami research is a perfect example of inter- and trans-disciplinary collaboration. There are major research challenges that make it an extremely vibrant and stimulating field: gaps in coverage of historical data and use of paleo-seismic and tsunami data, physics-based modelling of tsunami genesis and propagation, modelling of structural response to tsunami waves, loss and consequence modelling, the need for high-performance computing and simulations, uncertainty treatment in tsunami risk assessments, issuing timely warning, complexities related to modelling of human response to tsunami, and the central role of communication and capacity building. The physical sciences and engineering community can contribute significantly towards addressing these challenges. This technical section will welcome contributions across various aspects of tsunami risk engineering in a broad and inter-disciplinary sense: probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis, modelling physical consequences of tsunami on buildings, infrastructure, and industrial facilities, tsunami resistant design in codes, design of vertical evacuation structures, experimental testing of tsunamis, damage-dependent fragility assessment, tsunami vulnerability and loss assessment, digital twins of tsunami and its consequences, physical countermeasures, tsunami early warning and impact forecasting, tsunami evacuation modelling, financial measures for tsunami preparedness, and tsunami risk communication.

GEM-led SESSIONS

SHR2 - Advances in Seismic Hazard Analysis

SHR3 - Managing Earthquake Risk Through Multi-Lateral Partnerships

SHR9 - National Seismic Risk Modelling Efforts: Challenges, Achievements and Future Goals


OTHER SESSIONS OF INTEREST

SHR1 - Seismic Risk Models For Decision Support: Advancements And Applications

SHR6/12 - Macroseismology: Current Studies And Future Directions

SHR11 - Advances in The Seismic Hazard And Risk Assessment Of Nuclear Power Plants

SHR13/14 - High-Resolution Simulation Of Regional Earthquake Risk And Recovery

SHR15 - Recent Advances in Regional Risk Assessment

SHR16/19 - New Data And Cutting-Edge Technologies For Seismic Hazard Assessment And Risk Mitigation

SHR17 - Hazard And Loss Modelling Under The Lessons Learned From Recent Earthquakes

TNM1/4/6 - Tsunamis: Preparedness, Engineering And Risk

ASR3/4 - Risk-Based Assessment Methods and Retrofitting Strategies: Synergies Between Seismic, Energy and Environmental Behavior BCI5 - Large-Scale Simulations for Vulnerability and Resilience Analyses of Critical Infrastructures


GEM Presentations/Activities

Date/Time

Location

Session/Topic

Speaker

July 1 Mon 15:09 - 15:15

Suite 9

SHR3 - Is GEM (Global Earthquake Model) making a difference?

John Schneider

July 2 Tue 09:11 - 09:21

Amber 7

BCI5 - Assessing the Accessibility to Healthcare Facilities In Urban Centres Following Seismic Events

Catarina Costa

09:45 - 09:55

Amber 5

SHR2 - GEMs global seismic hazard mosaic: updates since v2018, applications, and upcoming activities

Kendra Johnson

14:50 - 15:00

Monitor 2

SHR9 - Assessing seismic risk for effective disaster management at an urban scale in El Salvador

Alejandro Calderón

16:00 - 19:00

TBD

Insurance Industry Panel Session and Aperitivo: From Academia to Insurance Industry: What's in it for Earthquake Engineers? (TBC)

hosted by Aon and GEM

July 3 Wed 09:09 - 09:20

Amber 5

SHR11 - METIS Project: GEM’s Contributions To The Hazard Work Package

Marco Pagani

10:31 - 10:40

Amber 5

SHR15 - Global Earthquake Loss Assessment: Where And Why Is Seismic Risk High?

Vitor Silva

14:55 - 15:03

Amber 5

SHR15 - Including Spatial And Inter-Period Correlations In Share-Fate Risk Assessment

Manuela Villani

15:10 - 15:20

Amber 5

SHR16 - Advancements In The Earthquake Risk Calculators Of The OpenQuake-Engine

Anirudh Rao

15:30 - 15:45

Amber 5

SHR16 - The Promise Of New Technologies In Earthquake Engineering

Vitor Silva

16:00 - 19:00

TBD

Technical sessions and a stakeholder side event with aperitif 

Global Tsunami Model (GTM) community

July 4 Thu 10:33 - 10:45

Monitor 2

SHR1 - Seismic Risk Assessment For Mitigation And Long-Term Planning At The National And Urban Level

Catalina Yepes-Estrada

10:41 - 10:51

Amber 5

SHR17 - Evaluating The Performance Of Gem's Hazard And Risk Models Following Damaging Earthquakes

Helen Crowley

11:00 - 11:10

Amber 6

Towards A Global Seismic Environmental Impact Model

Martina Caruso

17:00 - 18:00

Plenary

Joyner Lecture: Why seismic hazard modelling has become a risky business

Helen Crowley



Registration

REGISTRATION