top of page

Earthquake loss modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk

March 14, 2024

Virtual via Teams

​

OVERVIEW

Earthquake loss models support disaster risk management decisions, including building retrofit programmes, emergency planning and insurance. Their reliability depends on testing and refining them against observations from past earthquakes, including data collected during field missions.


Organised by EEFIT and SECED Young Members, this webinar featured Vitor Silva, Head of Risk Engineering, and Anirudh Rao, Senior Seismic Risk Modeller at the GEM Foundation. The presentations explored how GEM datasets and models can help teams prepare for field missions, and how observations gathered in the field can improve probabilistic earthquake risk assessments.


Examples included a World Bank project in Türkiye and findings from the February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. The discussion examined how observed building performance can reveal differences between model assumptions and actual construction practices, helping researchers revise exposure models. It also covered the use of damage observations to calibrate vulnerability models and the contribution of field data to improving estimates of earthquake shaking and losses.


The webinar concluded with questions and discussion on connecting field reconnaissance with risk modelling to support disaster preparedness and risk reduction.

Agenda

Speakers & Panelists

Session Title

Catarina Costa

Infrastructure Risk Lead

​

Advisory Board Vice Chair-GEM, Professor-University of Plymouth

Martina Caruso

Seismic Risk Modeller

Luis Mixco

Seismologist, MARN
El Salvador

​

​

Iwan Stalder

Head, Accumulation Management, Zurich Insurance

Luis Mixco

Seismologist, MARN-El Salvador

Josip Atalic

Professor, Seismic Risk, University of Zagreb

More invited speakers coming soon!

AGENDA

Session Title

Collapsible text is great for longer section titles and descriptions. It gives people access to all the info they need, while keeping your layout clean. Link your text to anything, or set your text box to expand on click. Write your text here...

Auditorium

Time
Title
Speaker
Organisation
15:10-15:40
Coffee break
15:40-15:50
Session 1: What has been developed?
Sonia Talwar
NRCan
14:20-14:35
Triggered or secondary effects: Liquefaction
Ellen Rathje
University of Texas at Austin, Geotechnical Engineering
16:25-16:40
Using GEM products to support rapid loss assessment
Alberto Michelini
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) ARISTOTLE
16:55-17:25
Closing Discussion Panel: The role of GEM to 2030
Closing Panel Moderator: John Schneider (GEM) Panelists:: Laurie Johnson, Sibylle Steimen, Kishor Jaiswal, Jenty Kirsch-Wood, Matthias Schmid, Sangeeta Singh
16:10-16:25
Systemic or cascading infrastructure risk
Astha Poudel
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
14:20-15:00
Intro Discussion Panel: Lessons learned regarding post-earthquake impact assessment
Intro Panel Moderator: Michael Ewald (SwissRe) Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik, Sinan Akkar, Jaime Abad Perez
17:30-18:00
Discussion Panel 1: Development and use of the Global earthquake models
Panel 1 Moderator: Helen Crowley (Eucentre) Panelists: Vitor Silva, Marco Pagani, Chung-Han Chan, Paul Della Marta, Daniela Di Bucci
Session 3: Where are we going? (June 14th, afternoon)
13:20-13:50
Lessons learned from the 2023 Kahramanmara?, T�rkiye earthquakes: Modeling aspects of insured portfolio losses
Sinan Akkar
Turk Reinsurance Inc., Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)
15:10-15:40
Coffee break - Posters and demonstrations
14:05-14:20
Triggered or secondary effects: Tsunami
Stefano Lorito
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
13:00-13:10
Introductory remarks
John Schneider
GEM
17:25-17:30
Final Wrap/Closing
Jorg Steffensen
Hannover Re
11:25-11:40
Site-specific seismic hazard assessment for nuclear and hydropower facilities in France
Paola Traversa
Electricit� de France (EdF)
postersdemos

Daily Oral Presentations Schedule

Daily Posters and Demos Schedule

POSTERS & DEMOS

Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment

​

REGISTRATION

Registration was available for this EEFIT–YMSC SECED webinar, held on 14 March 2024 from 13:30 to 15:00 CET. GEM’s Vitor Silva and Anirudh Rao presented approaches linking earthquake field observations with probabilistic risk modelling.

​

floorplan
Location

LOCATION

HOTEL

Transportation

TRANSPORTATION

RESOURCES

​

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

bottom of page