
Image Credit: UR24 (https://understandrisk.org/ur24/)
OVERVIEW
The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation is proud to participate in the Understanding Risk Global Forum 2024 (UR24) in Himeji, Hyogo Prefecture, Japan, from June 16th to 21st, 2024. GEM, in collaboration with the World Community of Geological Surveys WCOGS, will be actively involved on June 18th-20th, leading a technical session titled "Building Geohazards Risk Assessment Capacity at the National Level." GEM will also host a focus event on the same topic for more in-depth discussions, allowing for a more interactive exchange of ideas and promoting collaboration among stakeholders.
GEM invites attendees from national governments, disaster risk reduction agencies, academia, and other stakeholders interested in strengthening earthquake risk assessment capacities to:
Participate in our technical session to gain in-depth knowledge of our work.
Attend our side event for focused discussions and networking opportunities.
Visit our exhibition booth, in the “friends of NASA” space, to explore our open seismic risk assessment resources.
Convenors/Speakers
The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level

Marzia Santini
EU JRC

Hugo Rodrigues
University of Aveiro
Daniel Emilio
University of Aveiro

Daniel Gomez
GEM

Catalina Yepes
GEM
More invited speakers coming soon!
AGENDA
The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level
Geohazards such as earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis and landslides represent a significant proportion of the global disaster risk. Yet the capabilities for assessing risk at national to sub-national level are often insufficient. This session will discuss the state of practice and identify the needs for improving hazard and risk assessment capabilities. A complimentary Focus Day event will propose the way forward through the development of a global collaboration network.
Auditorium
Time | Title | Speaker | Organisation |
|---|---|---|---|
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
Session: GEM Global Release 2026 | |||
Daniel Gomez | |||
Marzia Santini | |||
Hugo Rodrigues | |||
Daniel Emilio | |||
Catalina Yepes | |||
Catarina Costa | |||
Lana Todorovic | |||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Karim Aljawhari | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
09:30 - 10:00 | National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region | Mukat Lal Sharma | Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee |
10:00 - 10:30 | From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project | Carlos Costa | Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes | Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio | University of Bristol, UK |
11:45 - 12:15 | Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment | Faouzi Gherboudj | Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria |
12:15 - 12:45 | Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium) | ||
09:00 - 09:30 | Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models | Jochen Woessner | Moody's RMS, Switzerland |
09:00 - 09:30 | Australian National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) | Trevor Allen | Geoscience Australia |
09:30 - 10:00 | Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands | Céline Beauval | ISTerre, France |
10:00 - 10:30 | New Zealand NSHM | Matt Gerstenberger | Earth Sciences New Zealand |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges | Asako Iwaki | NIED, Japan |
11:45 - 12:15 | The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes | Nico Luco | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:15 - 12:45 | Swiss NSHM | Laurentiu Danciu | SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
14:15 - 14:45 | Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025 | Chung-Han Chan | Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Taiwan |
14:45 - 15:15 | Italian NSHM | Akinci and D'Amico | INGV, Italy |
15:15 - 15:45 | Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models | Michal Kolaj | Natural Resources Canada |
15:45 - 16:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
16:30 - 17:00 | Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift | Mohammed Al-Ajamee | University of Khartoum, Sudan |
17:00 - 17:30 | NSHM Guidelines | ||
17:30 - 18:00 | Discussion | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 3 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards Moderator: Indranil Kongar, University College London | |||
09:10 - 09:25 | The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress | Stefano Lorito | INGV, Italy |
09:25 - 09:40 | From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience | Naveen Ragu Ramalingam^ | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
09:40 - 09:55 | Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations | Preetish Kakoty | University College London, UK |
09:55 - 10:10 | A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment | Ömer Faruk Kalayci* | Istanbul Technical University, Turkey |
10:10 - 10:25 | Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter? | Cecilia Nievas | GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany |
10:25 - 10:40 | Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia | Ekbal Hussain | British Geological Survey |
10:40 - 11:25 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response Moderator: Alexandru Tiganescu | |||
11:25 - 11:40 | Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using EBSPRA? | Azdine Kay Ysulan* | Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology |
11:40 - 11:55 | Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps | David Wald | U.S. Geological Survey |
11:55 - 12:10 | Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response | Kishor Jaiswal | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:10 - 12:25 | Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment | Finn Løvholt | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
12:25 - 12:45 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Marzia Santini | Joint Research Centre, Italy |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch / Governing Board Meeting | ||
15:00 | Field Trip | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 2 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling Moderator: TBD | |||
09:10 - 09:30 | Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation | Carmine Galasso | University College London, UK |
09:30 - 09:45 | Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data | Christian Geiß | German Aerospace Center |
09:45 - 10:00 | Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning | Joshua Dimasaka* | University of Cambridge, UK |
10:00 - 10:15 | Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally | Nicole Paul | University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland |
10:15 - 10:30 | Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda | Morris Oleng* | National Building Review Board, Uganda |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Next Generation Vulnerability Moderator: Ana Beatriz Acevedo, EAFIT University, Colombia | |||
11:30 - 11:45 | A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings | Angga Sabaruliman | The University of Sydney, Australia |
11:45 - 12:00 | Integrated Seismic Risk Assessment for Masonry Structures in the Marmara Region: AEM-Based Simulations and PML Comparative Analysis | Seyhan Okuyan Akcan^ | Boğaziçi University, Turkey |
12:00 - 12:15 | Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting | Ante Pilipović | University of Zagreb, Croatia |
12:15 - 12:30 | From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models | Gerard O'Reilly | IUSS Pavia, Italy |
12:30 - 12:45 | Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon (title TBD) | Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | |||
14:15 - 14:30 | Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation | Veronica Cedillos | GeoHazards International, USA |
14:30 - 14:45 | Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools | Sweata Sijapati* | GeoHazards International, Nepal |
14:45 - 15:00 | From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model | Carlos Molina Hutt | University of British Columbia, Canada |
15:00 - 15:15 | Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia) | Ana Beatriz Acevedo | EAFIT University, Colombia |
15:15 - 15:45 | Panel Taking stock: Measuring impact in disaster risk reduction
Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | ||
15:45 - 16:45 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Financial Risk Transfer Moderator: Laurie Johnson, Laurie Johnson Consulting | |||
16:45 - 17:00 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Iwan Stalder | Zurich Insurance, Switzerland |
17:00 - 17:15 | Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco | Evan Reis | Safehub, USA |
17:15 - 17:30 | GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry | Molly Gallahue | Gallagher Re, UK |
17:30 - 17:45 | Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model | Robert Churchill | Guy Carpenter, UK |
17:45 - 18:00 | Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy | Abril Sanchez | Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic |
Furkan Narlitepe | IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation | ||
Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Institutional Welcome | TBD | |
09:10 - 09:20 | CCEE and GEM | Josip Atalic | University of Zagreb |
09:20 - 09:30 | Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
09:30 - 10:00 | Global Seismic Hazard v2026 | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
10:00 - 10:30 | Global Seismic Risk v2026 | Vitor Silva | GEM Foundation |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters | ||
11:30 - 13:00 | GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic | Kendra Johnson | GEM Foundation |
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database) | Richard Styron | GEM Foundation | |
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS) | Manuela Vilani | GEM Foundation | |
Global Earthquake Catalogue | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM Foundation | |
Global Ground Motion Flat File | Christopher Brooks | GEM Foundation | |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch | ||
14:30 - 14:45 | GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework | Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation |
POSTERS & DEMOS
Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment
REGISTRATION
Stay tuned for more details!
We will provide further registration details for GEM's sessions at UR24 in the coming weeks. For inquiries, please contact info@globalquakemodel.org.
Links
EXHIBITION
Visit GEM's booth in the "Friends of NASA" area. Explore open seismic risk resources and chat with our earthquake experts!
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LOCATION
HOTEL
TRANSPORTATION
Taxi
Taxis in Japan are quite expensive and you may prefer other public transportation services. However, in smaller cities or late evening hours, they may be the only solution to get to your destination. Taxi stands may be easily found outside airports and train stations but you also may flag down a taxi in the street. You may also use a taxi app or request the reception of your hotel to call a taxi for you.
A couple of things to know when using a taxi in Japan:
A plate on the dashboard in the lower corner of the windshield indicates whether a taxi is vacant or not, red indicates vacant, green indicates occupied, exactly the other way around you may expect.
When boarding and getting out of the taxi, DON'T touch the door, the left rear door is opened and closed automatically by the driver.
If you don't speak Japanese, the easiest thing to do is to hand over the written address of your destination to the driver - or to show it on a map, if available, as the address system in Japan can be very confusing, even for the taxi driver. Most of the taxis accept credit card payments.
If you use cash, try to avoid using large bills for small amounts as the driver may not have enough change.
Last but not least: Tipping is not expected/done in Japan.
Local buses in Himeji (Shinki Bus)
Using the local bus, Shinki Bus may be the most convenient solution to move in Himeji. You will need cash or a rechargeable IC card https://www.japan-guide.com/e/e2359_003.html before boarding the bus. You may also purchase special fare tickets in advance at the bus station ticket office.
Check the destination on the front and side of the bus. Always board the bus at the rear door and exit at the front door. When paying using cash, take a number from the small box next to the entrance and keep it with you; you will need to drop the number together with your cash in a box near the driver when getting off the bus. When paying with an IC card, hold the card to the reader near the entrance until you hear an acoustic signal. If you purchased a special fare ticket in advance, take a number as if you'd pay with cash; when getting off the bus, drop the number in the ticket box next and show the special ticket to the driver.
A good solution for foreign travelers is the Hyogo Amazing Pass, a prepaid one-day ticket that allows you to use all orange Shinki Buses for 1,000 JYN for one day. You can purchase your Hyogo Amazing Pass online here and only need to show the screenshot of your mobile ticket when getting off the bus.
RESOURCES
Available resources at the GEM Booth S7
Videos
Gallery
Brochures & Maps
Recording
Videos

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