
OVERVIEW

Organised by the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation and hosted by the Arab Centre for the Prevention of Earthquake Hazards and Other Natural Disasters (ACPEND), this training offers a unique opportunity to acquire skills in using the OpenQuake Engine for seismic hazard and risk assessment. Targeting specialists from the 22-member states of the Arab League, the training will include both theoretical sessions and practical applications using regional models. It aims to strengthen local capacities in the Arab region by providing open-source tools and state-of-the-art models tailored for the region. Participants will gain insights into both fundamental and advanced concepts in hazard and risk analysis.

Speakers & Panelists
Session Title

Jamal Dabbeek
GEM, An-Najah University

Karim Aljawhari
GEM
More invited speakers coming soon!
AGENDA
Session Title
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Time | Topic | Speaker | Organisation |
|---|---|---|---|
09:30 - 10:00 | National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region | Mukat Lal Sharma | Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee |
10:00 - 10:30 | From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project | Carlos Costa | Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes | Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio | University of Bristol, UK |
11:45 - 12:15 | Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment | Faouzi Gherboudj | Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria |
12:15 - 12:45 | Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium) | ||
09:00 - 09:30 | Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models | Jochen Woessner | Moody's RMS, Switzerland |
09:00 - 09:30 | Australian National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) | Trevor Allen | Geoscience Australia |
09:30 - 10:00 | Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands | Céline Beauval | ISTerre, France |
10:00 - 10:30 | NZL NSHM | Matt Gerstenberger | Earth Sciences New Zealand |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges | Asako Iwaki | NIED, Japan |
11:45 - 12:15 | The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes | Nico Luco | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:15 - 12:45 | Swiss NSHM | Laurentiu Danciu | SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
14:15 - 14:45 | Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025 | Chung-Han Chan | Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Taiwan |
14:45 - 15:15 | Italian NSHM | Akinci and D'Amico | INGV, Italy |
15:15 - 15:45 | Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models | Michal Kolaj | Natural Resources Canada |
15:45 - 16:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
16:30 - 17:00 | Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift | Mohammed Al-Ajamee* | University of Khartoum, Sudan |
17:00 - 17:30 | NSHM Guidelines | ||
17:30 - 18:00 | Discussion | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 3 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards | Indranil Kongar | ||
09:10 - 09:25 | The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress | Stefano Lorito | INGV, Italy |
09:25 - 09:40 | From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience | Naveen Ragu Ramalingam | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
09:40 - 09:55 | Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations | Preetish Kakoty | University College London, UK |
09:55 - 10:10 | A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment | Ömer Faruk Kalayci | Istanbul Technical University, Turkey |
10:10 - 10:25 | Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter? | Cecilia Nievas | GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany |
10:25 - 10:40 | Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia | Ekbal Hussain | British Geological Survey |
10:40 - 11:25 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response | Alexandru Tiganescu | ||
11:25 - 11:40 | Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using Event-Based Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (EBSPRA)? | Azdine Kay Ysulan | Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology |
11:40 - 11:55 | Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps | David Wald | U.S. Geological Survey |
11:55 - 12:10 | Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response | Kishor Jaiswal | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:10 - 12:25 | Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment | Finn Løvholt | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
12:25 - 12:45 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Marzia Santini | Joint Research Centre, Italy |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch / Governing Board Meeting | ||
15:00 | Field Trip | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 2 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling | Tiegan Hobbs (TBC) (Moderator) | NRCan | |
09:10 - 09:30 | Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation | Carmine Galasso | University College London, UK |
09:30 - 09:45 | Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data | Christian Geiß | German Aerospace Center |
09:45 - 10:00 | Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning | Joshua Dimasaka | University of Cambridge, UK |
10:00 - 10:15 | Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally | Nicole Paul | University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland |
10:15 - 10:30 | Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda | Morris Oleng | National Building Review Board, Uganda |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Next Generation Vulnerability | Ana Beatriz Acevedo (Moderator) | EAFIT University, Colombia | |
11:30 - 11:45 | A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings | Angga Sabaruliman | The University of Sydney, Australia |
11:45 - 12:00 | Integrated Seismic Risk Assessment for Masonry Structures in the Marmara Region: AEM-Based Simulations and PML Comparative Analysis | Seyhan Okuyan Akcan | Boğaziçi University, Turkey |
12:00 - 12:15 | Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting | Ante Pilipović | University of Zagreb, Croatia |
12:15 - 12:30 | From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models | Gerard O'Reilly | IUSS Pavia, Italy |
12:30 - 12:45 | Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon (title TBD) | Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications | Jenty Kirsch Wood (TBC) (Moderator) | UNDRR | |
14:15 - 14:30 | Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation | Veronica Cedillos | GeoHazards International, USA |
14:30 - 14:45 | Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools | Sweata Sijapati | GeoHazards International, Nepal |
14:45 - 15:00 | From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model | Carlos Molina Hutt | University of British Columbia, Canada |
15:00 - 15:15 | Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia) | Ana Acevedo | EAFIT University, Colombia |
15:15 - 15:45 | Panel Taking stock: Measuring impact in disaster risk reduction | Jenty Kirsch Wood (Moderator) | UNDRR |
15:45 - 16:45 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Financial Risk Transfer | Laurie Johnson (TBC) (Moderator) | Laurie Johnson Consulting | |
16:45 - 17:00 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Iwan Stalder | Zurich Insurance, Switzerland |
17:00 - 17:15 | Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco | Evan Reis | Safehub, USA |
17:15 - 17:30 | GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry | Molly Gallahue | Gallagher Re, UK |
17:30 - 17:45 | Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model | Robert Churchill | Guy Carpenter, UK |
17:45 - 18:00 | Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy | Abril Sanchez | Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic |
Furkan Narlitepe | IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation | ||
Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Institutional Welcome | TBD | |
09:10 - 09:20 | CCEE and GEM | Josip Atalic | University of Zagreb |
09:20 - 09:30 | Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
09:30 - 10:00 | Global Seismic Hazard v2026 | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
10:00 - 10:30 | Global Seismic Risk v2026 | Vitor Silva | GEM Foundation |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + GEM demos | ||
11:30 - 13:00 | GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic | TBD | |
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database) | Richard Styron | GEM Foundation | |
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS) | Manuela Vilani | GEM Foundation | |
Global Earthquake Catalogue | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM Foundation | |
Global Ground Motion Flat File | Christopher Brooks | GEM Foundation | |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch | ||
14:30 - 14:45 | GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework | Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation |
14:45 - 15:00 | Future Exposure/Risk to 2065 | Alejandro Calderon | GEM Foundation |
15:00 - 15:15 | Global Exposure of Infrastructure to Liquefaction | Catarina Costa | GEM Foundation |
15:15 - 15:30 | Global Carbon Cost of Earthquakes | Martina Caruso | GEM Foundation |
15:30 - 16:00 | Coffee break + demos | ||
16:00 - 16:30 | Keynote: From Global Models to Local Impact: Advancing Seismic Risk Assessment in El Salvador using GEM Tools | Luis Mixco | MARN, El Salvador |
Lindsay Davis (Moderator) | USGS | ||
16:30 - 17:00 | Ignite (Intro + 8 ignites x 3 mins each) | Iain Stewart (Moderator) | University of Plymouth |
Luis Mixco | MARN-El Salvador | ||
Iwan Stalder | Zurich Insurance | ||
Josip Atalic | University of Zagreb | ||
Marzia Santini | European Commission | ||
Trevor Allen | GA | ||
Carmine Galasso | UCL | ||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
Marco Pagani | GEM | ||
Helen Crowley | GEM | ||
Carmine Galasso | UCL | ||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
Marco Pagani | GEM | ||
Helen Crowley | GEM | ||
Chung-Han Chan | National Central University | ||
Ana Beatriz Acevedo | EAFIT University, Colombia | ||
Jenty Kirsch-Wood | UNDRR | ||
Kirsty Bayliss | GEM | ||
Iain Stewart | GEM, University of Plymouth | ||
Catalina Yepes-Estrada | GEM | ||
Anirudh Rao | GEM | ||
Karim Aljawhari | GEM | ||
Jamal Dabbeek | GEM, An-Najah University | ||
Karim Aljawhari | |||
Fatemeh Jalayer | |||
Maria Durante | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Romeu Vicente | |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Daniela Di Bucci | DPC Italy | ||
Jamal Dabbeek | GEM | ||
Catalina Yepes | GEM | ||
Helen Crowley | GEM | ||
Christopher Brooks | GEM | ||
Kirsty Bayliss | GEM | ||
Manuela Villani | GEM | ||
Marco Pagani | GEM | ||
Catalina Yepes Estrada | GEM | ||
Anirudh Rao | GEM | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM | ||
Martina Caruso | GEM | ||
Alejandro Calderón | GEM | ||
Marco Baiguera | GEM | ||
16:45-17:00 | Q&A | Moderator | GEM |
Catarina Costa | |||
Meera Raghunandan | |||
Cláudia Pinto | |||
Al Mouayed Nafeh | |||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Maria Durante | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Stavroula Fotopou | |||
Fatemah Jalayer | |||
Romeu Vicente | |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
PSHA models for the oceans (Pacific Region) | |||
Development of the Pacific Islands (PAC) Model | |||
16:20-16:45 | Expansion plans under the FORCE project covering small island communities | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM |
16:00-16:20 | Overview of GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic | Kendra Johnson | GEM |
Anil Pokhrel | Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority, Nepal | ||
Nicolas Pondard | Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Dominik Lang | Director, Natural Hazards Division, NGI, Norway | ||
Shinji Takarada | Chief Senior Researcher, Geological Survey of Japan | ||
Robert Emberson | Associate Program Manager, NASA Earth Applied Sciences Program | ||
Janise Rodgers | COO, Geohazards International | ||
Ramesh Guragain | Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology (NSET) Nepal | ||
Discussion: Forming a global geohazards risk assessment network (community of practice) | Malaika Ulmi and John Schneider | GSC and GEM | |
Renato Solidum, Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines | ||
Lindsay Davis | Manager, Global Portfolio-Earthquake Hazard & Risk, USAID/USGS | ||
Christina Magill | Natural Hazard Risk Scientist, GNS Science, NZ | ||
Anselmo Pedrazzi | Executive Coordinator, Applied Geology Division, (LAMESO-SGB), Brazil | ||
Celestin Mahinda | Scientific Director, Research Center of Natural Sciences, Democratic Republic of Congo | ||
Teresito Bacolcol | Director, Phivolcs, Philippines | ||
Mabelline Cahulogan | Supervising Science Research Specialist, -Phivolcs, Philippines | ||
Asaka Iwaki | Chief Researcher, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED), Japan | ||
Hendriyawan Djazilus | Head, Ocean Engineering Program, ITB-Indonesia | ||
Takeshi Sato | Senior Engineer, Earthquake and Tsunami Div, Japan Meteorological Agency | ||
Panel 2: Existing Global Networks | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM | |
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
Judith Giblin | Ocean & Coastal Risk Data Analyst, South Pacific (SPC) | ||
Panel 1: Assessing National Capability | John Schneider and Malaika Ulmi | GEM and GSC | |
Gill Jolly | Chief Science Advisor, MBIE, GNS Science, NZ | ||
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
Nicolas Pondard | Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank | ||
Renato Solidum, Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines | ||
Anil Pokharel | Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority (NSET), Nepal | ||
Shunichi Koshimura | Deputy Director, IRIDes-Tohoku University | ||
Shubharoop Ghosh | Vice President, ImageCat, Inc. | ||
Laurie Johnson | CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Maksud Kamal | Vice Chancellor, Dhaka University | ||
18 June
10:30 - 12:30 (Plenary) | Plenary: Richter Resilience: Advancing Seismic Protection Worldwide | The World Bank | ----- |
Ron Eguchi | CEO, ImageCat, Inc. | ||
Takara Kaoru | President, NIED Japan | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Renato Solidum Jr. | Secretary, Department of Science and Technology Philippines-PH | ||
Humberto Lopez | Director, World Bank Country Turkyie | ||
Helen Crowley | Secretary General, GEM | ||
Laurie Johnson | CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting | ||
Ramesh Guragain | Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology-Nepal (NSET) | ||
Anne Wein | Principal investigator, U.S. Geological Survey | ||
Norio Maki | Professor, Kyoto University | ||
Malaika Ulmi | Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada | ||
19 June
09:30 - 10:30
Room 409 | Can ‘Seeing’ the Future Help us Change it? A Discussion on Future Directions for Disaster Scenarios | Janise Rodgers | COO, GeoHazards International |
18 June
09:30 - 10:30
Medium Hall | Symphony of Tradition and Innovation: Orchestrating Global Resilience in Diverse Communities | ImageCat, Inc. | ----- |
20 June
14:00 - 18:00
Room 409 | What About Geohazards? Building a Global Community for Hazard and Risk Assessment | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM |
18 June
12:30 - 13:30
Room 409 | What About Geohazards? The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level | John Schneider | Senior Advisor, GEM |
Speaker Background and Agenda
Speaker Background
Dr. Jamal Dabbeek is an Assistant Professor at An-Najah National University and serves as the Coordinator of the Earth Sciences and Seismic Engineering Unit at the Urban Planning and Disaster Risk Reduction Centre. He also acts as the Arab States Regional Coordinator for the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation. Dr. Dabbeek holds a PhD and a Master’s degree in Risk and Emergency Management from IUSS, Pavia, Italy, and a Bachelor’s in Building Engineering from An-Najah University. With extensive experience in seismic and multi-hazard risk modelling, he contributed to the development of the 2020 European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20), the Arabian Peninsula Risk model, the Global Seismic Risk Model (GRM), and led national-scale seismic and multi-hazard risk assessments in Palestine.
Dr. Karim Aljawhari is a researcher in seismic vulnerability modelling at the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation in Pavia, Italy. He develops advanced earthquake fragility and vulnerability models, characterising the various economic, environmental, and social impacts of natural hazards on the built environment. Before GEM, Karim was a Research Fellow in Risk and Resilience Engineering at University College London (UK), working on the Tomorrow’s Cities Project. Throughout his journey, Karim has contributed to several research projects in earthquake-prone countries, including Indonesia, Nepal, and Palestine. He holds a PhD degree in Earthquake Engineering from the University of Pavia and the University School of Advanced Studies (IUSS), Italy, and he has an MSc in Earthquake Engineering and Disaster Management from the University College London.
Location
The Arab Centre for Prevention from Earthquakes Dangers And Other Natural Hazards.
CTC Centre, 01 rue Kadour RAHIM, Husien DEY
Algiers, Algeria
Agenda
Day 1 - Earthquake Scenarios
Module 1: Introduction (2 hrs)
About the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation
Introduction to Disaster Risk Assessment and Management
Introduction to OpenQuake Engine
Module 2: Scenario hazard and risk (4 hrs)
Seismic faults and rupture mechanisms
Ground motion models and variability
Hands-on: Generate and visualise ground motions
Exposure and vulnerability models
Scenario damage and loss
Hands-on: estimate and visualise scenario damage and loss for Algeria
Day 2 - Probabilistic Seismic Hazard and Risk
Module 3: Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (3 hrs)
Seismic source characterisation
Ground motion characterisation
Logic trees
Hands-on: commute hazard curves and maps, hazard spectra
Module 4: Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (3 hrs)
Event-based damage assessment
Event-based risk assessment
Hands-on: estimate and visualise human and economic impacts
REGISTRATION
This training course is by invitation only. If you are interested in joining future GEM training events, we encourage you to sign up for our newsletter or follow us on our social media channels to stay informed about upcoming opportunities.
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