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GEM releases New Global Earthquake Hazard and Risk Products

October 13, 2023

Virtual via Zoom

Global Seismic Risk Map 2023

OVERVIEW

This year, the UNDRR’s International Day for Disaster Risk Reduction highlights the critical link between disasters and inequality. Unequal access to financial resources and insurance often exposes the vulnerable to disaster risks. Conversely, disasters can worsen disparities, plunging the marginalized into deeper poverty.


The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation through its groundbreaking earthquake hazard and risk maps presented at the GEM Conference in June 2023, is taking significant strides to address this issue. These maps provide vital insights into the variation of risk around the world, thus equipping risk managers, insurers, engineers, building regulators, and community planners with information to inform risk reduction measures by improving building safety and land use, enhancing earthquake preparedness, and incentivising risk transfer mechanisms such as insurance.

SPEAKERS & PANELISTS

Session Title

John Schneider

Secretary
General

Ahmet Bu?ra Ceyhan

Claims and Catastrophe Project Management Specialist

Sonia Talwar

Session 1 Moderator

Mami Mizutori

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction,
Head

Intro Panel Moderator:
Michael Ewald (SwissRe)

Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik,
Sinan Akkar,
Jaime Abad
Perez

Helen Crowley

Secretary General

Iain Stewart

Introduction
Moderator

Posters and demos presenters

J. Schneider

Convenor

Sinan Akkar

Turk Reinsurance Inc.,
Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)

J. Schneider

Convenor

AGENDA

Session Title

Session Title

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Time
Topic
Speaker
Role
Organization
13:00-13:10
Introductory remarks
John Schneider
Secretary General
GEM
13:10-13:15
Opening Address (video message)
Mami Mizutori
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, Head
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction
13:15-13:20
Introduction to the presentations
Iain Stewart
Introduction Moderator
Royal Scientific Society, Jordan
13:20-13:50
Lessons learned from the 2023 Kahramanmara?, T�rkiye earthquakes: Modeling aspects of insured portfolio losses
Sinan Akkar
Turk Reinsurance Inc., Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)
Turk Reinsurance Inc., Principal Catastrophe Modeler (keynote speaker)
13:50-14:20
DASK National Insurance perspective of Turkey EQ
Ahmet Bu?ra Ceyhan
Claims and Catastrophe Project Management Specialist
DASK
14:20-15:00
Intro Discussion Panel: Lessons learned regarding post-earthquake impact assessment
Intro Panel Moderator: Michael Ewald (SwissRe) Panelists: Nilesh Shome, Jay Guin, Mustafa Erdik, Sinan Akkar, Jaime Abad Perez
15:00-15:10
Flash introductions of poster and demo session
Posters and demos presenters
15:10-15:40
Coffee break - Posters and demonstrations
15:40-15:50
Session 1: What has been developed?
Sonia Talwar
Session 1 Moderator
NRCan
17:00 - 17:05
Welcome & Introduction
Helen Crowley
Secretary General
GEM
18 June 12:30 - 13:30
The State of Practice in Risk Assessment and Needs for Improvement at National to Sub-National Level
J. Schneider
Convenor
GEM
20 June 14:00 - 18:00
Building a Global Community for Hazard and Risk Assessment
J. Schneider
Convenor
GEM
13:30-15:00
Earthquake Loss Modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk
Vitor Silva
Head of Risk Engineering
GEM
1 July, Monday 10:30-11:45 (Room 9)
Advances in seismic hazard analysis
M. Pagani
Convenor
GEM
2 July, Tuesday 09:00-10:15 and 14:30-15:45 (Room 9)
M.D. Petersen
Convenor
USGS
15:50-16:30
Update of the Global Hazard Model
Marco Pagani
Hazard Team Coordinator
GEM
M.C. Gerstenberger
Convenor
GNS Science
16:30-17:10
Update of the Global Risk Model
Vitor Silva
Risk Team Coordinator
GEM
17:10-17:30
Launch of the Earthquake Scenarios Database
Catalina Yepes
Seismic Risk Engineer
GEM
N. Abrahamson
Speaker-x
UC Berkeley
E.H. Field
Speaker-x
USGS
17:30-18:00
Discussion Panel 1: Development and use of the Global earthquake models
Panel 1 Moderator: Helen Crowley (Eucentre) Panelists: Vitor Silva, Marco Pagani, Chung-Han Chan, Paul Della Marta, Daniela Di Bucci
T. Allen
Speaker-x
Geoscience Australia
18:00-19:30
Aperitivo
H. Fujiwara
Speaker-x
NIED Japan
M. Irsyam
Speaker-x
Bandung Institute of Technology Indonesia
C.-H. Chan
Speaker-x
E-DREaM Center Taiwan
M. Kolaj
Speaker-x
Natural Resources Canada
Session 2: How has it been used? (June 14th, morning)
1 July, Monday 14:30-15:45 (Room 16)
Managing earthquake risk through multi-lateral partnerships
J.F. Schneider
Convenor
GEM
Anirudh Rao
Senior Seismic Risk Modeller
GEM
17:05 - 17:15
ATLAS overview
Andres Abarca
Product Manager
GEM
G. Trendafiloski
Convenor
Impact Forecasting
9:00-9:10
Introduction: Session 2
Joerg Steffensen
Session 2 Moderator
Hannover Re
9:10-09:40
Keynote Lecture: Landscape of DRR initiatives - past, present and future
Alanna Simpson
Lead Disaster Risk Management Specialist (keynote speaker)
World Bank Group
9:40-09:55
Canadian Earthquake Risk Model
Tiegan Hobbs
Research Scientist
Natural Resources Canada (NRCan)
09:55-10:10
Colombia Earthquake Hazard model + Cali
Miguel Mora
Seismic Risk Engineer
I+R Consultores en Ingenier�a y Riesgos
10:10-10:25
Urban Seismic Risk Assessment
Tso-Chien Pan
Founding Executive Director
Institute of Catastrophe Risk Management-NTU
10:25-10:55
Coffee break
10:55-11:10
Application to insurance/financial risk modelling
Crescenzo Petrone
Executive Director
Gallagher Re,
11:10-11:25
Mitigating Risks in Georgia's Emergency Facilities: Arup and GEM's Collaborative Risk Assessment
Angelica Zanichelli
Arup, Structural Engineer
Arup
11:25-11:40
Site-specific seismic hazard assessment for nuclear and hydropower facilities in France
Paola Traversa
Seismologist
Electricit� de France (EdF)
M.J. Barrera
Speaker-x
Suramericana S.A Colombia
11:40-12:20
Discussion Panel 2: Using GEM products to make a difference
Panel 2 Moderator: Laurie Johnson (Laurie Johnson Consulting) Panelists: Alanna Simpson, Tiegan Hobbs, Miguel Mora, Tso-Chien Pan, Crescenzo Petrone, Angelica Zanichelli, Paola Traversa
12:20-14:00
Lunch break - Posters and Demonstrations
M. Edwards
Speaker-x
Geoscience Australia
E. Wandari
Speaker-x
Arup, Jakarta
14:30-16:00
Forward-looking earthquake risk modelling and quantification: recent advances and perspectives
C. Galasso
Convenor
University College London
17:15 - 17:25
Underlying hazard science
Marco Pagani
Head of Seismic Hazards
GEM
Session 3: Where are we going? (June 14th, afternoon)
G. Cremen
Convenor
University College London
V. Silva
Convenor
GEM
J. Baker
Speaker-x
Stanford University
D. Lallemant
Speaker-x
Nanyang Technological University
S. Loos
Speaker-x
University of Michigan
A. Barbosa
Speaker-x
Oregon State University
A. Calderon
Speaker-x
GEM
C. Mesta
Speaker-x
Scuola Universitaria Superiore IUSS
C. Huang
Speaker-x
NORSAR
R. Guragain
Speaker-x
NSET Nepal
M. Polese
Speaker-x
Università degli Studi di Napoli Federico II
14:00-14:05
Introduction: Session 3
Lindsay Davis
Session 3 Moderator
USGS/USAID,
14:05-14:20
Triggered or secondary effects: Tsunami
Stefano Lorito
Researcher
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
14:20-14:35
Triggered or secondary effects: Liquefaction
Ellen Rathje
Professor
University of Texas at Austin, Geotechnical Engineering
14:35-14:50
Triggered or secondary effects: Landslide
Farrokh Nadim
Technical Director
NGI � Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
14:50-15:10
Incorporation of NASA products in global hazard and risk assessment
Shanna McClain
Disasters Program Manager
NASA
15:10-15:40
Coffee break
15:40-16:10
Keynote Lecture: International Macroseismic Scale
David Wald
Research Geophysicist (Keynote speaker)
United States Geological Survey (USGS)
16:10-16:25
Systemic or cascading infrastructure risk
Astha Poudel
Systemic Risk Researcher
Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
16:25-16:40
Using GEM products to support rapid loss assessment
Alberto Michelini
Director of Research
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) ARISTOTLE
16:40-16:55
Future Exposure and Risk to natural hazards
Alejandro Calderon
Seismic Risk Engineer
GEM
16:55-17:25
Closing Discussion Panel: The role of GEM to 2030
Closing Panel Moderator: John Schneider (GEM) Panelists:: Laurie Johnson, Sibylle Steimen, Kishor Jaiswal, Jenty Kirsch-Wood, Matthias Schmid, Sangeeta Singh
17:25-17:30
Final Wrap/Closing
Jorg Steffensen
Hannover Re
Hannover Re
10:00-10:05
Welcome
Helen Crowley
Secretary General
GEM
14:30-16:00
Macroseismology: current studies and future directions
D. Wald
Convenor
USGS
17:25 - 17:35
Underlying software
Paul Henshaw
Director of Tech. & Dev't
GEM
J. Schwarz
Convenor
Weimar University
10:05-10:15
International Day for DRR and GEM's global hazard and risk maps
John Schneider
Senior Advisor
GEM
V. Silva
Convenor
GEM
10:15-10:25
Overview of GEM's 2023 product release
Helen Crowley
Secretary General
GEM
P. Sbarra
Speaker-x
INGV
10:25-10:45
GEM's global seismic hazard mosaic and future developments
Marco Pagani
Head of Seismic Hazards
GEM
10:45-11:05
GEM's global seismic risk mosaic and future developments
Vitor Silva
Head of Risk Engineering
GEM
A. Hortascu
Speaker-x
Applied Technology Council USA
11:05-11:20
Walkthrough of access to GEM's 2023 products
Andres Abarca
Product Manager
GEM
T. Goded
Speaker-x
GNS Science
G. Grunthal
Speaker-x
GFZ Potsdam
11:20-11:55
Q&A and Discussion
John Schneider
Senior Advisor
GEM
11:55-12:00
Closing Remarks
Helen Crowley
Secretary General
GEM
R. Spence
Speaker-x
Cambridge Architectural Research UK
17:35 - 17:45
User testimonial
Stevan Gavrilovic
Guest Speaker
Arup
2 July, Tuesday 10:30-11:45 (Room 9)
National seismic risk modelling efforts: challenges, achievements and future goals
V. Silva
Convenor
University of Aveiro/GEM
H. Crowley
Convenor
GEM
A.B. Acevedo
Convenor
EAFIT University Colombia
T. Hobbs
Speaker-x
Natural Resources Canada
K. Jaiswal
Speaker-x
USGS
C. Arteta
Speaker-x
Universidad del Norte, Barranquilla Colombia
A. Papadopoulos
Speaker-x
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology
K. Pitilakis
Speaker-x
University of Thessaloniki Greece
17:45 - 18:00
Access and Q&A
Andres Abarca
Product Manager
GEM

OTHER SESSIONS OF INTEREST

EERI/SSA JOYNER LECTURE

WCEE2024 Secretariat Plenary Talks

Helen Crowley, GEM Secretary General, is set to be honoured with the prestigious Joyner Lecture Award for her distinguished contributions to earthquake science and engineering communication. She will deliver her lecture on April 11th, 2024 at 4:00 PM, Wednesday at the EERI Annual Meeting in Seattle, Washington; on May 2nd at 6:00 PM, 2024 at the SSA Annual Meeting in Anchorage, Alaska; and on July 3rd at the 18th WCEE2024. Lecture day: Wednesday July 3rd Lecture title: Why seismic hazard modelling has become a risky business

TNM-1 TSUNAMI RISK ENGINEERING: AN INTER-DISCIPLINARY CHALLENGE

Convenors: F. Jalayer, K. Goda

Strong tsunamis are low-probability and high-consequence events. They are usually triggered by large subduction earthquakes, such as the 2004 Indian Ocean event. They can also be caused by complex cascades, such as flank collapse caused by the 2018 Anak Krakatau volcanic eruption and the 2018 Sulawesi submarine landslides triggered by a large strike-slip earthquake. They cause havoc and destruction along their paths and can have severe impacts and consequences on communities very far from their points of origin. Tsunami research is a perfect example of inter- and trans-disciplinary collaboration. There are major research challenges that make it an extremely vibrant and stimulating field: gaps in coverage of historical data and use of paleo-seismic and tsunami data, physics-based modelling of tsunami genesis and propagation, modelling of structural response to tsunami waves, loss and consequence modelling, the need for high-performance computing and simulations, uncertainty treatment in tsunami risk assessments, issuing timely warning, complexities related to modelling of human response to tsunami, and the central role of communication and capacity building. The physical sciences and engineering community can contribute significantly towards addressing these challenges. This technical section will welcome contributions across various aspects of tsunami risk engineering in a broad and inter-disciplinary sense: probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis, modelling physical consequences of tsunami on buildings, infrastructure, and industrial facilities, tsunami resistant design in codes, design of vertical evacuation structures, experimental testing of tsunamis, damage-dependent fragility assessment, tsunami vulnerability and loss assessment, digital twins of tsunami and its consequences, physical countermeasures, tsunami early warning and impact forecasting, tsunami evacuation modelling, financial measures for tsunami preparedness, and tsunami risk communication.
Registration

REGISTRATION

We invite you to join us for an opportunity to explore the latest seismic hazard and risk modeling advancements and their application to informing #riskreduction measures in the field of #buildingsafety and land use, enhancing #earthquakepreparedness, and incentivising #risktransfer mechanisms.


📅 Date: October 13th 🕙 Time: 10 am - 12 pm CEST

🎥 Livestream Link: GEM's YouTube Channel


Let's work together for a more resilient and equitable future.


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