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Earthquake loss modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk

March 14, 2024

Virtual via Teams

OVERVIEW

This talk will demonstrate the potential of using some of the datasets and models from the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation to better prepare for field missions and improve existing risk models.

Agenda

Speakers & Panelists

Session Title

Daniel Gomez

GEM

Marzia Santini

EU JRC

More invited speakers coming soon!

AGENDA

Session Title

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Auditorium

Time
Title
Speaker
Organisation
08:00 - 09:00

Registration

Session: Behind the Global Seismic Hazard Model

Moderator: Marco Pagani

Session: Behind and beyond the Global Seismic Risk Model

Moderator: Vitor Silva

* early career researcher with travel grant

^ early career researcher with fee waiver

* early career researcher with travel grant

^ early career researcher with fee waiver

Session: GEM Global Release 2026

Daniel Gomez
Marzia Santini
Hugo Rodrigues
Daniel Emilio
Catalina Yepes
Catarina Costa
Lana Todorovic
Christopher Brooks
Karim Aljawhari
Finn Løvholt
Vitor Silva
GEM
09:30 - 10:00
National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region
Mukat Lal Sharma
Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee
10:00 - 10:30
From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project
Carlos Costa
Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina
10:30 - 11:15
Coffee break + demos + posters
11:15 - 11:45
Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes
Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio
University of Bristol, UK
11:45 - 12:15
Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment
Faouzi Gherboudj
Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria
12:15 - 12:45

Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop

Marco Pagani
GEM Foundation
12:45 - 13:00
Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium)
09:00 - 09:30
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models
Jochen Woessner
Moody's RMS, Switzerland
09:00 - 09:30

Low Seismicity, High Uncertainty: Advancing Seismic Hazard Estimation Down Under

Trevor Allen
Geoscience Australia
09:30 - 10:00

New seismic hazard models for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands

Céline Beauval
ISTerre, France
10:00 - 10:30

The Aotearoa New Zealand NSHM: earthquake clustering and nonstationarity

Matt Gerstenberger
Earth Sciences New Zealand
10:30 - 11:15
Coffee break + demos + posters
11:15 - 11:45

Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges

Asako Iwaki
NIED, Japan
11:45 - 12:15

The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes

Nico Luco
U.S. Geological Survey
12:15 - 12:45

The 2029 Update of the Swiss Seismic Hazard Model: A

Probabilistic

Framework for Multi-

Scale Hazard

Applications

Laurentiu Danciu
SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland
12:45 - 14:15
Lunch
14:15 - 14:45

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025

Chung-Han Chan
Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation & Management Center, TW
14:45 - 15:15

The New Italian Seismic Hazard Model (ISHM): Objectives, Development

Strategy, and Scientific Framework

Aybige Akinci and Vera D'Amico
INGV, Italy
15:15 - 15:45

Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models

Michal Kolaj and Tiegan Hobbs
Natural Resources Canada
15:45 - 16:30
Coffee break + demos + posters
16:30 - 17:00

Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift

Mohammed Al-Ajamee
University of Khartoum, Sudan
17:00 - 17:30

Guidelines on National Seismic Hazard Programs

NSHMG Team
17:30 - 18:00

Discussion on "Challenges in National Seismic Hazard Modelling"

NSHMG Team
09:00 - 09:10
Welcome to day 3
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation

Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards 

Moderator: Indranil Kongar, Guy Carpenter (Marsh)

09:10 - 09:25
The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress
Stefano Lorito
INGV, Italy
09:25 - 09:40
From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience
Naveen Ragu Ramalingam^
Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
09:40 - 09:55
Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations
Preetish Kakoty
University College London, UK
09:55 - 10:10
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Ömer Faruk Kalayci*
Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
10:10 - 10:25
Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter?
Cecilia Nievas
GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany
10:10 - 10:25
Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia
Ekbal Hussain
British Geological Survey
10:25- 11:25
Coffee break + demos + posters

Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response

Moderator: Alexandru Tiganescu, NIEP, Romania

National Institute for Earth Physics
11:25 - 11:40


Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using EBSPRA?

Azdine Kay Ysulan*
Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology
11:40 - 11:55
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps
David Wald
U.S. Geological Survey
11:55 - 12:10
Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response
Kishor Jaiswal
U.S. Geological Survey
12:10 - 12:25
Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment
Finn Løvholt
Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
12:25 - 12:45

Invited Talk: Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS & beyond – A Review of Achievements, Challenges & Opportunities over the Past Year

Marzia Santini
Joint Research Centre, Italy
12:45 - 13:00
Closure of GEM Conference 2026
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
13:00 - 14:30
Lunch / Governing Board Meeting
15:00

Introduction to field trip

09:00 - 09:10
Welcome to day 2
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation

Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling

Moderator: Tiegan Hobbs, Natural Resources Canada (NRCan)

09:10 - 09:30

Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation

Carmine Galasso
University College London, UK
09:30 - 09:45

Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data

Christian Geiß
German Aerospace Center
09:45 - 10:00
Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning
Joshua Dimasaka*
University of Cambridge, UK
10:00 - 10:15
Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally
Nicole Paul
University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland
10:15 - 10:30
Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda
Morris Oleng*
National Building Review Board, Uganda
10:30 - 11:30
Coffee break + demos + posters

Session: Next Generation Vulnerability 

Moderator: Ana Beatriz Acevedo, EAFIT University, Colombia

11:30 - 11:45
A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings
Angga Sabaruliman
The University of Sydney, Australia
11:45 - 12:00

Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting

Ante Pilipović
University of Zagreb, Croatia
12:00 - 12:15

From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models

Gerard O'Reilly
IUSS Pavia, Italy
12:15 - 12:30

Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon

Karim Aljawhari
GEM Foundation
12:30- 14:15
Lunch

Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications 

Moderator: Rashmin Gunasekera, World Bank

14:15 - 14:30
Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation
Veronica Cedillos
GeoHazards International, USA
14:30 - 14:45
Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools
Sweata Sijapati*
GeoHazards International, Nepal
14:45 - 15:00

From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model

Carlos Molina Hutt
University of British Columbia, Canada
15:00 - 15:15
Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia)
Ana Beatriz Acevedo
EAFIT University, Colombia
15:15 - 15:30

Understanding Risk 2027

Rashmin Gunasekera
World Bank
15:30 - 16:30
Coffee break + demos + posters

Session: Financial Risk Transfer 

Moderator: Laurie Johnson, Laurie Johnson Consulting

16:30 - 16:45

Invited Talk: GEM as a Key Pillar of a Flexible and Diversified Cat Model Ecosystem

Iwan Stalder
Zurich Insurance, Switzerland
16:45 - 17:00
Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco
Evan Reis
Safehub, USA
17:00 - 17:15
GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry
Molly Gallahue
Gallagher Re, UK
17:15 - 17:30
Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model
Robert Churchill
Guy Carpenter, UK
17:30 - 17:45
Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy
Abril Sanchez
Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic
Furkan Narlitepe
IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation
Karim Aljawhari
GEM Foundation
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM Foundation
09:00 - 09:10

Institutional Welcome from the Dean of the Faculty of Civil Engineering

Domagoj Damjanović
University of Zagreb
09:10 - 09:20
CCEE and GEM
Josip Atalic
University of Zagreb
09:20 - 09:30
Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
09:30 - 10:00
Global Seismic Hazard v2026
Marco Pagani
GEM Foundation
10:00 - 10:30

Global Seismic Risk v2026

Vitor Silva
GEM Foundation
10:30 - 11:30

Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters

11:30 - 13:00
GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Kendra Johnson
GEM Foundation
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database)
Richard Styron
GEM Foundation
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS)
Manuela Vilani
GEM Foundation

Global Homogenised Earthquake Catalogue

Kirsty Bayliss
GEM Foundation
postersdemos

Daily Oral Presentations Schedule

Daily Posters and Demos Schedule

Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment

REGISTRATION

Join us for the EEFIT - YMSC SECED webinar on 'Earthquake Loss Modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk' by Vitor Silva, Head of Risk Engineering, and Anirudh Rao, Senior Seismic Risk Modeller of the GEM Foundation.


Mark your calendars for March 14th from 1:30 pm to 3:00 pm CET.


Register now!

floorplan
Location

LOCATION

HOTEL

Transportation

TRANSPORTATION

RESOURCES

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

Videos

Videos

Gallery

Gallery

Day 1: Auditorium

Day 2: Auditorium

Day 2: Hazard Workshop

Day 3: Auditorium

Day 3: Hazard Workshop

Day 3: Fieldtrip (Photo Credit - University of Zagreb)

Photo Credit: University of Zagreb

Maps

Maps

Presentations

Surname
Title
Day & Session
Video
Silva
Global Seismic Risk v2026
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
GEM Foundation
Behind and Beyond the Global Seismic Risk Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Pagani
Global Seismic Hazard v2026
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
GEM Foundation
Behind the Global Seismic Hazard Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Costa
Global Liquefaction Map and Roads Exposure
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Caruso
THE GLOBAL CARBON COST OF EARTHQUAKES
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Calderon
FORECASTING THE GLOBAL EXPOSURE TO EARTHQUAKES
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Crowley
Closing
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Santini
Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Jaiswal
PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Crowley
Day 3
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Santini
(UPDATED) Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS (and beyond)
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Jochen
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models Rev2
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Kakoty
Toward enhanced portfolio seismic risk estimates via physics-based ground motion simulations
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Sharma
National Seismic Hazard Assessment for Dams: Emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian Region
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Kalaycı
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Santini
Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS (and beyond)
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Lorito
Global Tsunami Model (GTM) association and Global Tsunami Hazard Model (GTHM26) progress
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Løvholt
Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Woessner
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Ragu Ramalingam
From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Fiscal Resilience
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Wald
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement & Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps 
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Churchill
Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Luco
USGS National Seismic Hazard Models
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Gunasekera
UR Abu Dhabi
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Aljawhari
A New Global Seismic Vulnerability Database for Earthquake-induced Embodied Carbon
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Danciu
The 2029 Update of the Swiss Seismic Hazard Model
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Paul
Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Galasso
Forward-Looking Exposure Modeling for Human-Centred Urban Disaster Mitigation
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Ysulan
Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecast Using Event-Based Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (EBSPRA)?
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Gerstenberger
Aotearoa New Zealand NSHM Time Dependence & Clustering
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
O'Reilly
Recent advances in seismic risk modelling: from spatial correlation to damage and loss dependence UPDATED
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
O'Reilly
Recent advances in seismic risk modelling: from spatial correlation to damage and loss dependence
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Lorito
Global Tsunami Model (GTM) association and Global Tsunami Hazard Model (GTHM26) progress
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Gatti
Source-to-Structure Analysis
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
00_All_ppt_Iginte_new
All_ppts_Excl_Gatti
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Hussain
Uncertainty estimates for seismic hazard scenario calculations
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Stalder
Zurich Earthquake Models
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Danciu
The 2029 Update of the Swiss Seismic Hazard Model
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Wald
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement & Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps 
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Akinci
Italian Seismic Hazard Model (ISHM): Objectives, Governance and Methodology
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Gherboudj
Residual analysis of Ground motion dataset of Algeria and site effect analysis
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Villani
Stochastic EvEnt Sets At Worldwide Scale (SEESAWS)
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Bayliss
GEM Global Homogenised Earthquake Catalogue
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Beauval
Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French islands in the Lesser Antilles
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Crowley
Opening slides
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Pagani
GLOBAL SEISMIC HAZARD
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Kalaycı
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Cedillos
Reducing Disaster Risk: From Technical Models to Implementation
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Nafeh
GEM's New Global Vulnerability Framework
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Seperate_Gatti_IGNITE_Last
Seperate_Gatti_IGNITE
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
All_ppt_Ignite_excl_Gatti
All_ppts_Excl_Gatti_IGNITE
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Chan
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Sabaruliman
A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
styron
GEM Global Block Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Dimasaka
Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Oleng
Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure: Towards an Updated Earthquake Risk Assessment Framework for Uganda
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Allen
Low Seismicity, High Uncertainty: Advancing Seismic Hazard Estimation Down Under
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Djima
A Reproducible GMPE-Ensemble Framework for Synthetic Ground Motion Simulation of the 2019 Silivri Earthquake.
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Download
Gatti
Shake Anywhere: a simulation-free AI-based earthquake ground motion generator for any source/any geology.
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Djima
A Reproducible GMPE-Ensemble Framework for Synthetic Ground Motion Simulation of the 2019 Silivri Earthquake.
Day 2 June 24
Iwaki
Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Bouabid
Scenario-Based Seismic Risk Assessment for the City of Fez, Morocco
Day 3 June 25
Millen
New Zealand's National Liquefaction Model
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Michal
Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Hung
Toward National-Scale Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment for Taiwan with Building-Level Exposure
Day 3 June 25
Ugolini
An adaptive, uncertainty-aware framework for regional seismic risk assessment integrating microzonation and multi-level vulnerability and exposure modeling
Day 3 June 25
Sijapati
Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Wald
The Benefits of the New International Macroseismic Scale (IMS-25)
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Toma-Danila
An OpenQuake-Based Rapid Earthquake Loss Estimation System for Romania and Its Role in Decision Support
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Shukla
Risk Assessment using AI Platform as Infrastructure Detection Lens
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Sharma
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT FOR DAMS: EMPHASIS ON HIMALAYA AND NORTHEAST INDIAN REGION
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Sanchez Barra
Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Geoperils:  A Case Study for Italy
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Ragu Ramalingam
From Tsunami Scenario to Risk – When Time and Scale Matter!
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Paredes Estacio
Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Matsumoto
Development of the Japan Strong Motion Data Platform (JSMDP)
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Mixco
From Global Models to Local Impact: Advancing Seismic Risk Assessment in El Salvador through GEM Tools
Day 1 Keynote presentation
Pilipović
Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Millen
National Liquefaction Model
Day 2 June 24
Gallahue
GEM Products in the (Re)insurance Industry
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Johnson
GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Download
Geiß
Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Ewald
SwissRe CatNet
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Costa
From Fault Data to Fault Sources in South America
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Brooks
GEM Global Flatfile
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Borzi
Italian Risk MAps: A platform for seismic risk assessment of different exposed assets
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Acevedo
Scenario risk results for the Department of Antioquia
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Ragu Ramalingam
Rapid Tsunami Inundation and Risk Modelling with ML and OpenQuake
Day 3 June 25
Toma-Danila
An OpenQuake-Based Rapid Earthquake Loss Estimation System for Romania and Its Role in Decision Support
Day 3 June 25
Gupta
Development of Region-Specific Ground Motion Prediction from Strong Motion Observations for NSHM of India
Day 2 June 24
Lallawmawma
Forecasting the Spatial Distribution of Earthquakes for the Indian National Seismic Hazard Model Through Smoothed Gridded Seismicity
Day 2 June 24
Hasanoglu
Impact of modelling and analysis decisions on vulnerability estimates for regional seismic risk assessments
Day 2 June 24
Hasanoglu
Impact of modelling and analysis decisions on vulnerability estimates for regional seismic risk assessments
Day 2 June 24
Sitali
Overview of Namibia's Seismicity
Day 2 June 24
Chimouni
Synthetic intensity maps of certain events in Northern Algeria using PGV and PGA parameters
Day 2 June 24
Matsumoto
Development of the Japan Strong Motion Data Platform
Day 3 June 25
Ugolini
An adaptive, uncertainty-aware framework for regional seismic risk assessment integrating microzonation and multi-level vulnerability and exposure modeling
Day 3 June 25

Posters

Surname
Title
Day & Session
Silva
Global Seismic Risk v2026
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
GEM Foundation
Behind and Beyond the Global Seismic Risk Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Pagani
Global Seismic Hazard v2026
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
GEM Foundation
Behind the Global Seismic Hazard Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Costa
Global Liquefaction Map and Roads Exposure
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Caruso
THE GLOBAL CARBON COST OF EARTHQUAKES
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Calderon
FORECASTING THE GLOBAL EXPOSURE TO EARTHQUAKES
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Crowley
Closing
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Santini
Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Jaiswal
PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Crowley
Day 3
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Santini
(UPDATED) Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS (and beyond)
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Jochen
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models Rev2
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Kakoty
Toward enhanced portfolio seismic risk estimates via physics-based ground motion simulations
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Sharma
National Seismic Hazard Assessment for Dams: Emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian Region
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Kalaycı
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Santini
Advancing Global Earthquake Impact Estimation for Humanitarians in GDACS (and beyond)
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Lorito
Global Tsunami Model (GTM) association and Global Tsunami Hazard Model (GTHM26) progress
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Løvholt
Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Woessner
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Ragu Ramalingam
From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Fiscal Resilience
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Wald
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement & Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps 
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Churchill
Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Luco
USGS National Seismic Hazard Models
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Gunasekera
UR Abu Dhabi
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Aljawhari
A New Global Seismic Vulnerability Database for Earthquake-induced Embodied Carbon
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Danciu
The 2029 Update of the Swiss Seismic Hazard Model
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Paul
Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Galasso
Forward-Looking Exposure Modeling for Human-Centred Urban Disaster Mitigation
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Ysulan
Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecast Using Event-Based Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (EBSPRA)?
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Gerstenberger
Aotearoa New Zealand NSHM Time Dependence & Clustering
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
O'Reilly
Recent advances in seismic risk modelling: from spatial correlation to damage and loss dependence UPDATED
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
O'Reilly
Recent advances in seismic risk modelling: from spatial correlation to damage and loss dependence
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Lorito
Global Tsunami Model (GTM) association and Global Tsunami Hazard Model (GTHM26) progress
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Gatti
Source-to-Structure Analysis
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
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All_ppts_Excl_Gatti
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Hussain
Uncertainty estimates for seismic hazard scenario calculations
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Stalder
Zurich Earthquake Models
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Danciu
The 2029 Update of the Swiss Seismic Hazard Model
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Wald
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement & Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps 
Day 3 Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response
Akinci
Italian Seismic Hazard Model (ISHM): Objectives, Governance and Methodology
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Gherboudj
Residual analysis of Ground motion dataset of Algeria and site effect analysis
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Villani
Stochastic EvEnt Sets At Worldwide Scale (SEESAWS)
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Bayliss
GEM Global Homogenised Earthquake Catalogue
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Beauval
Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French islands in the Lesser Antilles
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Crowley
Opening slides
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Pagani
GLOBAL SEISMIC HAZARD
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Kalaycı
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Day 3 Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards
Cedillos
Reducing Disaster Risk: From Technical Models to Implementation
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Molina Hutt
From Risk Modeling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Nafeh
GEM's New Global Vulnerability Framework
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Seperate_Gatti_IGNITE_Last
Seperate_Gatti_IGNITE
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
All_ppt_Ignite_excl_Gatti
All_ppts_Excl_Gatti_IGNITE
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Chan
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Sabaruliman
A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
styron
GEM Global Block Model
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Dimasaka
Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Oleng
Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure: Towards an Updated Earthquake Risk Assessment Framework for Uganda
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Allen
Low Seismicity, High Uncertainty: Advancing Seismic Hazard Estimation Down Under
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Djima
A Reproducible GMPE-Ensemble Framework for Synthetic Ground Motion Simulation of the 2019 Silivri Earthquake.
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Gatti
Shake Anywhere: a simulation-free AI-based earthquake ground motion generator for any source/any geology.
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Djima
A Reproducible GMPE-Ensemble Framework for Synthetic Ground Motion Simulation of the 2019 Silivri Earthquake.
Day 2 June 24
Iwaki
Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Bouabid
Scenario-Based Seismic Risk Assessment for the City of Fez, Morocco
Day 3 June 25
Millen
New Zealand's National Liquefaction Model
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Michal
Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models
Day 2 National Hazard Workshop
Hung
Toward National-Scale Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment for Taiwan with Building-Level Exposure
Day 3 June 25
Ugolini
An adaptive, uncertainty-aware framework for regional seismic risk assessment integrating microzonation and multi-level vulnerability and exposure modeling
Day 3 June 25
Sijapati
Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Wald
The Benefits of the New International Macroseismic Scale (IMS-25)
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Toma-Danila
An OpenQuake-Based Rapid Earthquake Loss Estimation System for Romania and Its Role in Decision Support
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Shukla
Risk Assessment using AI Platform as Infrastructure Detection Lens
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Sharma
NATIONAL SEISMIC HAZARD ASSESSMENT FOR DAMS: EMPHASIS ON HIMALAYA AND NORTHEAST INDIAN REGION
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Sanchez Barra
Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Geoperils:  A Case Study for Italy
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Ragu Ramalingam
From Tsunami Scenario to Risk – When Time and Scale Matter!
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Paredes Estacio
Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Matsumoto
Development of the Japan Strong Motion Data Platform (JSMDP)
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Mixco
From Global Models to Local Impact: Advancing Seismic Risk Assessment in El Salvador through GEM Tools
Day 1 Keynote presentation
Pilipović
Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting
Day 2 Session: Next Generation Vulnerability
Millen
National Liquefaction Model
Day 2 June 24
Gallahue
GEM Products in the (Re)insurance Industry
Day 2 Session: Financial Risk Transfer
Johnson
GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Geiß
Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data
Day 2 Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling
Ewald
SwissRe CatNet
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Costa
From Fault Data to Fault Sources in South America
Day 3 National Hazard Workshop
Brooks
GEM Global Flatfile
Day 1 Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Borzi
Italian Risk MAps: A platform for seismic risk assessment of different exposed assets
Day 1 IGNITE session presenters
Acevedo
Scenario risk results for the Department of Antioquia
Day 2 Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications
Ragu Ramalingam
Rapid Tsunami Inundation and Risk Modelling with ML and OpenQuake
Day 3 June 25
Toma-Danila
An OpenQuake-Based Rapid Earthquake Loss Estimation System for Romania and Its Role in Decision Support
Day 3 June 25
Gupta
Development of Region-Specific Ground Motion Prediction from Strong Motion Observations for NSHM of India
Day 2 June 24
Lallawmawma
Forecasting the Spatial Distribution of Earthquakes for the Indian National Seismic Hazard Model Through Smoothed Gridded Seismicity
Day 2 June 24
Hasanoglu
Impact of modelling and analysis decisions on vulnerability estimates for regional seismic risk assessments
Day 2 June 24
Hasanoglu
Impact of modelling and analysis decisions on vulnerability estimates for regional seismic risk assessments
Day 2 June 24
Sitali
Overview of Namibia's Seismicity
Day 2 June 24
Chimouni
Synthetic intensity maps of certain events in Northern Algeria using PGV and PGA parameters
Day 2 June 24
Matsumoto
Development of the Japan Strong Motion Data Platform
Day 3 June 25
Ugolini
An adaptive, uncertainty-aware framework for regional seismic risk assessment integrating microzonation and multi-level vulnerability and exposure modeling
Day 3 June 25

Recording

Recording

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