top of page

GEM releases New Global Earthquake Hazard and Risk Products

October 13, 2023

Virtual via Zoom

Global Seismic Risk Map 2023

OVERVIEW

This year, the UNDRR’s International Day for Disaster Risk Reduction highlights the critical link between disasters and inequality. Unequal access to financial resources and insurance often exposes the vulnerable to disaster risks. Conversely, disasters can worsen disparities, plunging the marginalized into deeper poverty.


The Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation through its groundbreaking earthquake hazard and risk maps presented at the GEM Conference in June 2023, is taking significant strides to address this issue. These maps provide vital insights into the variation of risk around the world, thus equipping risk managers, insurers, engineers, building regulators, and community planners with information to inform risk reduction measures by improving building safety and land use, enhancing earthquake preparedness, and incentivising risk transfer mechanisms such as insurance.

Speakers & Panelists

Session Title

More invited speakers coming soon!

AGENDA

Session Title

Collapsible text is great for longer section titles and descriptions. It gives people access to all the info they need, while keeping your layout clean. Link your text to anything, or set your text box to expand on click. Write your text here...

Auditorium

Time
Topic
Speaker
Organisation
Session: GEM Global Release 2026
Daniel Gomez
Marzia Santini
Hugo Rodrigues
Daniel Emilio
Catalina Yepes
Catarina Costa
Lana Todorovic
Christopher Brooks
Karim Aljawhari
Finn Løvholt
Vitor Silva
GEM
09:30 - 10:00
National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region
Mukat Lal Sharma
Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee
10:00 - 10:30
From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project
Carlos Costa
Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina
10:30 - 11:15
Coffee break + demos + posters
11:15 - 11:45
Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes
Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio
University of Bristol, UK
11:45 - 12:15
Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment
Faouzi Gherboudj
Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria
12:15 - 12:45
Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop
Marco Pagani
GEM Foundation
12:45 - 13:00
Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium)
09:00 - 09:30
Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models
Jochen Woessner
Moody's RMS, Switzerland
09:00 - 09:30
Australian National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM)
Trevor Allen
Geoscience Australia
09:30 - 10:00
Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands
Céline Beauval
ISTerre, France
10:00 - 10:30
New Zealand NSHM
Matt Gerstenberger
Earth Sciences New Zealand
10:30 - 11:15
Coffee break + demos + posters
11:15 - 11:45
Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges
Asako Iwaki
NIED, Japan
11:45 - 12:15
The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes
Nico Luco
U.S. Geological Survey
12:15 - 12:45
Swiss NSHM
Laurentiu Danciu
SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland
12:45 - 14:15
Lunch
14:15 - 14:45
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025
Chung-Han Chan
Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Taiwan
14:45 - 15:15
Italian NSHM
Akinci and D'Amico
INGV, Italy
15:15 - 15:45
Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models
Michal Kolaj
Natural Resources Canada
15:45 - 16:30
Coffee break + demos + posters
16:30 - 17:00
Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift
Mohammed Al-Ajamee
University of Khartoum, Sudan
17:00 - 17:30
NSHM Guidelines
17:30 - 18:00
Discussion
09:00 - 09:10
Welcome to day 3
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards Moderator: Indranil Kongar, University College London
09:10 - 09:25
The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress
Stefano Lorito
INGV, Italy
09:25 - 09:40
From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience
Naveen Ragu Ramalingam^
Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
09:40 - 09:55
Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations
Preetish Kakoty
University College London, UK
09:55 - 10:10
A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment
Ömer Faruk Kalayci*
Istanbul Technical University, Turkey
10:10 - 10:25
Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter?
Cecilia Nievas
GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany
10:25 - 10:40
Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia
Ekbal Hussain
British Geological Survey
10:40 - 11:25
Coffee break + demos + posters
Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response Moderator: Alexandru Tiganescu
11:25 - 11:40
Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using Event-Based Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment (EBSPRA)?
Azdine Kay Ysulan*
Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology
11:40 - 11:55
Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps
David Wald
U.S. Geological Survey
11:55 - 12:10
Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response
Kishor Jaiswal
U.S. Geological Survey
12:10 - 12:25
Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment
Finn Løvholt
Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
12:25 - 12:45
Invited Talk: Title TBD
Marzia Santini
Joint Research Centre, Italy
12:45 - 13:00
Closure of GEM Conference 2026
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
13:00 - 14:30
Lunch / Governing Board Meeting
15:00
Field Trip
09:00 - 09:10
Welcome to day 2
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling Moderator: TBD
09:10 - 09:30
Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation
Carmine Galasso
University College London, UK
09:30 - 09:45
Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data
Christian Geiß
German Aerospace Center
09:45 - 10:00
Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning
Joshua Dimasaka*
University of Cambridge, UK
10:00 - 10:15
Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally
Nicole Paul
University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland
10:15 - 10:30
Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda
Morris Oleng*
National Building Review Board, Uganda
10:30 - 11:30
Coffee break + demos + posters
Session: Next Generation Vulnerability Moderator: Ana Beatriz Acevedo, EAFIT University, Colombia
11:30 - 11:45
A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings
Angga Sabaruliman
The University of Sydney, Australia
11:45 - 12:00
Integrated Seismic Risk Assessment for Masonry Structures in the Marmara Region: AEM-Based Simulations and PML Comparative Analysis
Seyhan Okuyan Akcan^
Boğaziçi University, Turkey
12:00 - 12:15
Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting
Ante Pilipović
University of Zagreb, Croatia
12:15 - 12:30
From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models
Gerard O'Reilly
IUSS Pavia, Italy
12:30 - 12:45
Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon (title TBD)
Karim Aljawhari
GEM Foundation
12:45 - 14:15
Lunch
Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR
14:15 - 14:30
Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation
Veronica Cedillos
GeoHazards International, USA
14:30 - 14:45
Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools
Sweata Sijapati*
GeoHazards International, Nepal
14:45 - 15:00
From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model
Carlos Molina Hutt
University of British Columbia, Canada
15:00 - 15:15
Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia)
Ana Beatriz Acevedo
EAFIT University, Colombia
15:15 - 15:45
Panel Taking stock: Measuring impact in disaster risk reduction Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR
15:45 - 16:45
Coffee break + demos + posters
Session: Financial Risk Transfer Moderator: Laurie Johnson, Laurie Johnson Consulting
16:45 - 17:00
Invited Talk: Title TBD
Iwan Stalder
Zurich Insurance, Switzerland
17:00 - 17:15
Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco
Evan Reis
Safehub, USA
17:15 - 17:30
GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry
Molly Gallahue
Gallagher Re, UK
17:30 - 17:45
Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model
Robert Churchill
Guy Carpenter, UK
17:45 - 18:00
Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy
Abril Sanchez
Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic
Furkan Narlitepe
IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation
Karim Aljawhari
GEM Foundation
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM Foundation
09:00 - 09:10
Institutional Welcome
TBD
09:10 - 09:20
CCEE and GEM
Josip Atalic
University of Zagreb
09:20 - 09:30
Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026
Helen Crowley
GEM Foundation
09:30 - 10:00
Global Seismic Hazard v2026
Marco Pagani
GEM Foundation
10:00 - 10:30
Global Seismic Risk v2026
Vitor Silva
GEM Foundation
10:30 - 11:30
Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters
11:30 - 13:00
GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Kendra Johnson
GEM Foundation
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database)
Richard Styron
GEM Foundation
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS)
Manuela Vilani
GEM Foundation
Global Earthquake Catalogue
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM Foundation
Global Ground Motion Flat File
Christopher Brooks
GEM Foundation
13:00 - 14:30
Lunch
14:30 - 14:45
GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM Foundation
postersdemos

POSTERS & DEMOS

Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment

REGISTRATION

We invite you to join us for an opportunity to explore the latest seismic hazard and risk modeling advancements and their application to informing #riskreduction measures in the field of #buildingsafety and land use, enhancing #earthquakepreparedness, and incentivising #risktransfer mechanisms.


📅 Date: October 13th 🕙 Time: 10 am - 12 pm CEST

🎥 Livestream Link: GEM's YouTube Channel


Let's work together for a more resilient and equitable future.


Secure your spot now!

floorplan

LOCATION

HOTEL

TRANSPORTATION

RESOURCES

The global products released and the event recording are now available below. To download the presentations, go to the agenda table and click the title of the topic.

Videos

Gallery

Global Products

Recording

Videos

Gallery

Global Products

Recording

bottom of page