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  • GFDRR-DFID | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects GFDRR-DFID GFDRR-DFID Challenge Funds Share Versión en español English version Overview Background The Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) and the UK Department for International Development's (DFID) competitive Challenge Fund pilots new and innovative approaches to overcoming technical and technological challenges in order to strengthen disaster and climate risk decision-making in developing countries. To this end, this project is supporting the development of data, products, and approaches to support disaster risk management decision-making and build resilience, including through better information, but also strengthening key steps in moving from information to insight and behaviour change. Each challenge is focusing on the development of a database with hazard footprints, exposure information and vulnerability models. The viability of the databases will be demonstrated using exposure data for Tanzania and another DFID priority country. Objectives The project is divided into three components. The British Geological Survey leads the development of a data schema and data for a multi-hazard database (Challenge 1) while GEM and University College London lead the development of a global exposure database (Challenge 2) and open vulnerability platform for evaluating risk (Challenge 3) respectively. GEM also contributes to Challenge Fund 1 and 3. GEM leads Challenge Fund 2 on the development of a global exposure data framework, which includes the physical vulnerability characteristics and exposure taxonomy. The aim is to identify the most important vulnerability characteristics; ways to account for uncertainties in exposure and vulnerability models; type of assets that should be supported by the vulnerability and exposure database; and the most common and useful intensity measure types. The objective of this project is to develop a Data Exploration Tool to promote the ability of a user to access, understand and use hazard, exposure and vulnerability data stored in a format that follows the data schema developed by the Challenge Fund consortia. British Geological Survey (BGS) leads the development of a data schema and data for a multi-hazard database (Challenge 1) GEM Foundation leads the development of a global exposure database (Challenge 2) University College London (UCL) leads the development of open vulnerability platform for evaluating risk (Challenge 3) Various organizations also participated and contributed to the project such as the Geological Survey of Tanzania; Ardhi University (Tanzania); Dar Es Salaam University (Tanzania); DFID Tanzania; Prime Minister's Office - Disaster Management Department (Tanzania); DoMA (Malawi); INGC (Mozambique); Ministry of Energy & Mineral Development (Uganda); ImageCat (USA); Humanitarian OpenStreetMap Team (HOT Indonesia); NSET (Nepal); IDF (Switzerland); UA (Netherlands); NGI (Norway); NOC (UK); CIMA (Italy); and UCL-EPI (UK). Locations Tanzania and neighbouring countries A consortium led by the GEM Foundation with partners ImageCat Inc. and the Humanitarian OpenStreetMap Team completed recently an open exposure database for multi-hazard risk assessment... The University College London (UCL) EPICentre and CatLin XL hosted the second workshop held on July 27 in London to collect feedback. The GFDRR-DFID Challenge Fund projects on the development of exposure, vulnerability and hazard footprints databases kicked off with a 2-day inception workshop. GFDRR-DFID Challenge Funds Round 2 How can innovative approaches make communities more resilient to climate change and natural disasters? GFDRR-UK Aid Challenge Fund: Final Learning Report: Value of Risk Information for Decision Making May 31, 2018 Data schema and data: for multi-hazard database (BGS), for global exposure database (GEM), for a global database of vulnerability functions (UCL) Extensible Data Schemas for Multiple Hazards, Exposure and Vulnerability Data published as part of the UNDRR GAR2019 .

  • BACK TO NORMAL | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects BACK TO NORMAL Earthquake Recovery Modelling Share Versión en español English version Overview Background To address some of the key factors that influence recovery following a potentially devastating earthquake, the Alfred E. Alquist Seismic Safety Commission (SSC) engaged the GEM (Global Earthquake Model) Foundation and the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA), Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, a) to develop a methodology and an open-source and transparent software tool to estimate recovery states and recovery times following an earthquake; and b) to investigate the effect of external socio-economic factors on these recovery times. Objectives This project achieved the following main objectives: 1. Development of a user-friendly, non-commercial and transparent software tool, herein referred as the Integrated Risk Modelling Toolkit (IRMT), to make map-based comparisons showing the effect of different resilient actions on the recovery times. 2. Development of an analytic methodology, referred as the Reconstruction Recovery Model, to estimate post-earthquake recovery 3. Integration of the Reconstruction Recovery Model for practical use into GEM’s OpenQuake modelling platform. 4. Demonstration of reasonable results by using the methodologies to model past earthquakes. In this context, the 2014 M6 South Napa Earthquake was used as a case study. Collaborators Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering at the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA) Location California, United States

  • BEYOND BUTTON PUSHING | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects BEYOND BUTTON PUSHING Earthquake Risk Assessment and Sensitivity Analysis for California Share Versión en español English version Overview Background The goal of the project was to show how important the quantification of uncertainty is in estimating and understanding California’s earthquake risk using OpenQuake - GEM Foundation’s state-of-the-art open source earthquake hazard and risk assessment software. With OpenQuake’s plug-and-play capabilities, expert users can individually select or substitute every model component, data, and assumption. This feature will help model users and decision makers to: 1) ‘ask the right questions’ when evaluating model results; 2) better interpret risk assessment results and gain trust in model results; and 3) make better risk management decisions. Duration: 2015-2017 Objectives The main objectives of this project are to: Establish representative sets of exposure: ‣ for the San Francisco Bay Area; ‣ for the Southern California region affected by the Shakeout Scenario Choose specific results (risk metrics) to use as a basis for comparison. Produce ‘baseline’ results from OpenQuake, using a ‘control’ set of assumptions. Undertake a thorough sensitivity analysis for the risk estimates for California based on the UCERF3 model by running OpenQuake multiple times, each time varying one assumption or parameter, such as: ‣ earthquake probabilities (controlled by assumptions about fault geometries, slip rates, maximum magnitudes); ‣ ground motion model selection; ‣ vulnerability functions; ‣ site conditions; and ‣ statistical treatment of uncertainty and correlation Beyond the aims stated at the outset of the project as listed above, several additional objectives were achieved during the course of the project, including the following: Implement within OpenQuake the latest seismic hazard model for California based on the recently published Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast version 3 (UCERF3), produced by the U.S. Geological Survey and the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities. Calculate the average annual loss estimates for all 8,057 census tracts in California, using the seismic hazard model based on UCERF3. Establish the range (distribution) of scientifically viable results for the chosen risk metrics by accounting for the various uncertainties in the hazard model. Identify the components of the hazard model contributing most to the overall uncertainty in the risk metrics for the different exposure portfolios. Implement a model simplification (‘logic-tree trimming’) software tool to reduce the number of computer runs and greatly speed up the time required for running the risk model for California. Collaborators GEM Foundation Funding partner: Alfred E. Alquist Seismic Safety Commission (SSC) Location California, United States

  • Collaborative Projects | Global Earthquake Model Foundation | Italy

    PROJECTS GEM’s collaborative network comprises more than 100 public and private institutions, which has led to GEM’s participation in more than 50 regional, national, and multilateral projects covering Europe, Middle East, South America, Central America, North America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia and the Pacific. Share Anchor 1 Key Projects - 2013 and beyond Sort by Order by 1 2 3 4 5 1 ... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 8 0 Filters: 37 results found View: Map List Gallery Multi-Hazard Expert Advice System for ERCC Status: Ongoing The ARISTOTLE consortium combines a number of services that enable a rapid understanding of events from various natural hazards (earthquakes and tsunamis, volcanoes, severe weather and floods) and how they might unfold, thus aiding a deeper interpretation of the resulting hazards and impact. View Forecasting and Communicating Earthquake Hazard and Risk (FORCE) Status: Ongoing On the heels of a successful completion of the TREQ project partnership this year, GEM and USAID Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance (BHA) are embarking on a new project called Forecasting and Communicating Earthquake Hazard and Risk or FORCE. The project aims to strengthen the capacities and understanding to manage and respond to future earthquake risk. View ASCE Earthquake Loads Overseas (AELO) Status: Ongoing The project is carried out within a collaboration between GEM and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), and is sponsored by the U.S. Department of State (DoS) and the U.S. Department of Defence (DoD). The aim of the project is provide a web service for computing design ground motions (on rock and soil) that are compliant with the ASCE guidelines (ASCE 7-16, ASCE 41-17, ASCE 7-22, ASCE 41-23) for 500 locations worldwide. View Comprehensive Multi hazard Risk Assessment in Malawi Status: Ongoing Malawi is a country strongly affected by the impact of extreme events, exacerbated by rapid population growth and urbanization. A multi-risk assessment is currently lacking at the national level, while it is available only at the local level in some districts. View GeoINQUIRE: Geosphere INfrastructures for QUestions into Integrated REsearch Status: Ongoing The GeoINQUIRE project provides and enhances access to selected key data, products, and services, enabling the dynamic processes within the geosphere to be monitored and modelled at new levels of spatial and temporal detail and precision. View Title Location Status Loading... Page 1 of more 1 2 3 4 5 1 ... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 ... 8 Completed Ongoing Washington DC

  • TREQ Project | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects TREQ Project Training and Communication for Earthquake Risk Assessment (TREQ) Share Versión en español English version Overview Risk Assessment Training Outreach Photos Reports Summary The Training and Communication for Earthquake Risk Assessment (TREQ) Project was designed to demonstrate how earthquake hazard and risk assessment can inform decision makers in the development of risk reduction policies, as well as how earthquake risk can be properly communicated to stakeholders and the public in general. [PDF Executive Summary English ] Objectives The project was organized into two main parts. The first one aimed to develop capacity for urban earthquake hazard and risk assessment in Latin America, Quito (Ecuador), Cali (Colombia), and Santiago de los Caballeros (Dominican Republic); while the second part was to develop training, educational and communication material to enhance the understanding of earthquake risk worldwide. The program was tailored for a wide spectrum of stakeholders, categorized into four main groups: governance (decision-makers/public authorities), industry (practitioners and professionals), academia (researchers and professors), and the community. Collaborators Ecuador Municipalidad de Quito Escuela Politécnica Nacional (EPN) Instituto Geofísico (IG) Colegio de Ingenieros Civiles de Pichincha (CICP) Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador Dominican Republic Municipalidad de Santiago de los Caballeros Servicio Geológico Nacional (SGN) Oficina Nacional de Evaluación Sísmica y Vulnerabilidad de Infraestructuras y Edificaciones (ONESVIE) Comité Técnico Nacional (CTN) Pontificia Universidad Católica Madre y Maestra (PUCMM) Colombia Municipalidad de Santiago de Cali Servicio Geológico Colombiano (SGC) Departamento Administrativo de Planeación Municipal (DAPM), Cali Universidad EAFIT, Medellin Unidad Nacional de Gestión del Riesgo de Desastres (UNGRD) Costa Rica Universidad de Costa Rica (UCR) Mexico Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC) Location Quito (Ecuador), Cali (Colombia), and Santiago de los Caballeros (Dominican Republic) Urban risk assessment in Latin America and the Caribbean The following deliverables were generated in this component: seismic hazard and risk assessment at the urban scale for the three TREQ cities: Quito (Ecuador), Cali (Colombia), and Santiago de los Caballeros (Dominican Republic). State-of-art models were developed for each city in close collaboration with local partners. The input models and results are available at the URL address below: [github.com/gem/treq-riesgo-urbano/ ] a. City reports Seismic Risk Assessment for the Metropolitan District of Quito [Evaluación de Riesgo Sísmico para el Distrito Metropolitano de Quito] [Español ] Seismic Risk Assessment for Santiago de Cali [Evaluación de Riesgo Sísmico para Santiago de Cali] [Español ] Seismic Risk Assessment for Santiago de los Caballeros [Evaluación de Riesgo Sísmico para Santiago de los Caballeros] [Español ] b. Seismic Hazard Assessment PSHA models and datasets for urban hazard assessment [Modelos probabilísticos de amenaza sísmica (PSHA) y conjuntos de datos para la evaluación de la amenaza a nivel urbano] [PDF English ] Probabilistic seismic hazard model for the Dominican Republic [Modelo Probabilístico de Amenaza Sísmica para la República Dominicana] [PDF English | Español ] [Download Model ] Seismic hazard results (rock and soil conditions) [Resultados de amenaza sísmica (condiciones en roca y en suelo)] [PDF English ] Seismic hazard analysis at the urban scale [Análisis de la amenaza sísmica a escala urbana] [PDF English ] c. Seismic Risk Assessment Executive summary Urban seismic risk assessment for the cities of Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [Resumen ejecutivo sobre la evaluación del riesgo sísmico urbano para las ciudades de Quito, Cali y Santiago de los Caballeros] [PDF English ] Building classes in Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [Tipologías constructivas en Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros] [PDF Español ] Geo-referenced exposure database of population and buildings in the TREQ city [Base de datos de exposición georreferenciada de población y edificios en cada ciudad de TREQ] [Cali ] [Quito ] [Santiago ] Database of fragility and vulnerability functions for each building class present in the exposure model [Base de datos de funciones de fragilidad y vulnerabilidad para cada clase de edificio presente en el modelo de exposición] [Data ] Maps and risk metrics generated for each city [Mapas y métricas de riesgo para cada ciudad] [Cali ] [Quito ] [Santiago ] d. City scenarios Database with ruptures selected for scenario analysis [Base de datos con rupturas seleccionadas para análisis de escenarios] [Cali ] [Quito ] [Santiago ] Scenario hazard assessment for the representative earthquakes in Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [Evaluación del escenarios de amenaza para sismos representativos en Quito, Cali y Santiago de los Caballeros] [PDF English ] e. Urban Applications Earthquake induced landslides and liquefaction in Cali [Deslizamientos y licuefacción inducidos por sismo en Cali] [PDF English ] Improving global capacity for seismic hazard and risk This part of the program was designed to improve the understanding and awareness of earthquake hazard and risk, and to help bridge the gap between the information produced in detailed hazard and risk assessment studies and its communication to a wide variety of stakeholders (which range from local experts with the remit to assess seismic risk to decision-makers responsible for the implementation of risk reduction measures). a. Website for OpenQuake online training The OpenQuake online training was designed for different types of audience with diverse background and expertise. Through this platform, participants interacted with GEM scientific and technical teams to learn the main concepts of earthquake risk assessment, along with the basic features of the engine. [English | Español ] b. OpenQuake manual in online format The official manual has been converted from latex into reStructuredText format made possible by @USAID support. The new manual is now online in HTML format and can be accessed at: [Webpage English ] c. Video tutorials on seismic hazard and risk analysis using OpenQuake The project has produced 15 videos on technical training using the OpenQuake-engine (in English and Spanish), 7 videos with material to disseminate the models and results of urban risk assessment in the TREQ cities, and 2 videos for communicating earthquake risk to the general public. OQ Engine Video Tutorials [ English | Español ] d. Manual to perform seismic hazard analysis This manual presents the basic concepts of classical PSHA and the wide spectrum of alternatives to model seismicity and uncertainties (epistemic and aleatory) in the OpenQuake-engine. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) is the principal methodology for assessing the potential hazard posed by earthquakes. The hazard maps generated with the hazard calculator are widely used in national seismic codes for hazard zonation and structural design provisions. [PDF English ] [Example materials ] [More info ] e. Training the Trainers TREQ has engaged and collaborated with five university professors from Latin America to conceptualize, create and implement a unified course for the study of seismic risk at the university level. Brochures in English and Spanish further explain the concept behind this initiative and outline the early results and experiences of the professors from Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala and Mexico. [PDF English | Español ] Communicating and raising earthquake risk awareness The activities in this component focused on raising awareness of the public on earthquake hazard and risk by training a diverse group of disaster risk reduction (DRR) professionals together with personnel in charge of communicating risk to the public, and by conducting community-based workshops in selected areas of the pilot cities by those who were trained by the project. a. Educational material to raise seismic risk awareness: Application for the Metropolitan Area of Aburra Valley (AMVA) [Material didáctico para sensibilizar a la comunidad sobre el riesgo sísmico: Aplicación para el área Metropolitana del Valle de Aburrá (AMVA)] [PDF Español ] b. Video to communicate earthquake risk to the general public [Video para comunicar el riesgo de terremoto al público en general] [English | Español ] c. Guidelines for teachers for the development of an introductory course on seismic risk [Guía para profesores para el desarrollo de un curso introductorio de riesgo sísmico] [PDF Español ] d. Urban risk mitigation and response profiles for the TREQ cities [Perfiles de respuesta y mitigación de riesgos urbanos para las ciudades TREQ] [Cali ] [Quito ] [Santiago ] News articles Events Understanding seismic risk through capacity development and knowledge sharing webinar draws hundreds of participants from around the world [Article ] [Event page English | Español ] [Video ] Presentation of the national PSHA model for the Dominican Republic: a joint webinar hosted by Servicio Geológico Nacional Dominicano in cooperation with GEM, Oficina Nacional de Evaluación Sísmica y Vulnerabilidad de Infraestructura. and USAID's Bureau for Humanitarian Assistance . [Event flyer Español ] [Video English | Español ] ---- Articles Raising Earthquake Risk Awareness: TREQ’s community workshops for the general public Urban hazard assessment of selected cities in Latin America Local solutions to global problems: reducing disaster risk through collaboration and openness TREQ Project Updates: Site Effects Modelling and Urban Exposure Models USGS has joined the TREQ initiative for urban earthquake scenarios TREQ capacity building: OQ online training updates Jan-Feb 2021 TREQ2020 – Capacity development and OpenQuake online training, year in review TREQ OpenQuake Online Training: Earthquake Scenarios - Ground Motion Fields Sept 2020 More at GEM News section Newsletter The TREQ project newsletter was intented to share activities in urban risk assessment, and earthquake risk training and education materials with a wide-range of local stakeholders from the academia, private and public sectors, as well as the civil society in Latin America, the Caribbean and beyond. Newsletter no. 3 - May 2021 Newsletter no. 2 - September 2020 Newsletter no. 1 - March 2020 Maiden issue [English ] Maiden issue [Españo ] BUSINESS NEWS More TREQ photos here Facebook album 1/4 BUSINESS NEWS Raising Risk Awareness: workshops for the general public 1/4 BUSINESS NEWS March 2020 Project Kickoff 1/4 BUSINESS NEWS Photos from the November 2020 OpenQuake Online training 1/2 BUSINESS NEWS Meetings in Quito 1/10 BUSINESS NEWS Meetings in Guayaquil 1/1 Overview TREQ Executive Summary [English ] Seismic Hazard Assessment PSHA models and datasets for urban hazard assessment [English ] Probabilistic seismic hazard model for the Dominican Republic [English | Español ] [Download Model ] Seismic Hazard Results (rock and soil conditions) [English ] Seismic hazard analysis at the urban scale [English ] Seismic Risk Assessment Executive summary Urban seismic risk assessment for the cities of Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [English ] Building classes in Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [Español ] City Scenarios Scenario selection for representative earthquakes in Quito, Cali and Santiago de los Caballeros [English ] Urban applications Earthquake-induced liquefaction and landslides in Cali, Colombia [English ] City reports Seismic Risk Assessment for the Metropolitan District of Quito [Español ] Seismic Risk Assessment for Santiago de Cali [Español ] Seismic Risk Assessment for Santiago de los Caballeros [Español ] Training and communicating earthquake risk Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) Training Manual [English ] [Example materials ] [More info ] Educational material to raise seismic risk awareness: Application for the Metropolitan Area of Aburra Valley (AMVA) [Español ] Guidelines for teachers for the development of an introductory course on seismic risk [Español ]

  • EU DRR | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects EU DRR Regional risk modelling and scenario analysis for EU Member States - Seismic risk analysis and exposure data Share Versión en español English version Overview Background This project supports the World Bank Technical Assistance project "Economic Analysis of Prevention and Preparedness in European Union Member States and Countries under EU Civil Protection Mechanism". The GEM Risk Team provides exposure and probabilistic seismic risk assessments for the 27 EU member states and 6 participating states, building upon the EFEHR ESHM20 hazard and ESRM20 exposure datasets [insert link www.efehr.org ], adding educational and healthcare building stock, and forecasting exposure to 2050. Further, retrofitted vulnerability curves are derived to inform the seismic impact analyses and a cost-benefit analysis. Duration: 2020-2021 Objectives The project is conducted in collaboration with the European Commission’s (EC) Directorate-General for European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (DG ECHO). The objectives of this project are to: 1. Provide regionally-consistent probabilistic seismic risk metrics across Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM) countries for population and selected structure types, to inform macro-economic analysis that is to be conducted by the World Bank project team. 2. Provide seismic impact analysis for two selected earthquake scenarios with and without specified DRM intervention, to estimate the impact of that intervention on i) loss due to direct damage and ii) fatalities. This will contribute to cost-benefit analysis of EU-funded DRM investments conducted by the WB project team using the Triple-Dividend framework. Collaborators GEM Foundation Funding partner: World Bank Group Locations EU Member States

  • GEORGIA DRR | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects GEORGIA DRR Capacity building to understand and take action on seismic risks in Georgia Share Versión en español English version Overview Background This project aims to enhance the understanding of earthquake impacts in Georgia and to address the following two challenges: i. The lack of understanding of potential earthquake risk and the impact on people, infrastructure and the economy at large; and ii. the lack of efforts to reduce the vulnerability of existing infrastructure, particularly critical emergency response infrastructure. The project is divided into 5 tasks, with the GEM Risk Team contributing to all tasks, with a specific emphasis on developing exposure models, identifying vulnerability models and running the probabilistic seismic risk assessment with the OpenQuake engine: Task 1 – Project Inception Task 2 – Preparation of Input Data & Development of Input Models Task 3 – Seismic Risk Analysis Task 4 – Recommendations on Risk Reduction Strategy Task 5 – Capacity Building Workshops Duration: 2020-2021 Objectives The objective of this project is to provide greater insight to the World Bank into the exposure of Georgia’s emergency response sectors to earthquakes and the potential consequences, as well as strategies to build seismic resilience in these sectors. The findings allow the World Bank to develop recommendations and better advise the Government of Georgia on how to: i. enhance its capacity to plan for future risk reduction investment programs based on a better understanding of earthquake risk in emergency response buildings; ii. develop options for a framework for a future short, medium and long-term intervention strategy; and iii. communicate and build consensus on earthquake risks and potential interventions in key sectors. Collaborators GEM Foundation, Arup, Progress Project LLC, Ilia State University Funding partner: World Bank Group Location Georgia

  • CAYMAN ISLANDS PSHA | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects CAYMAN ISLANDS PSHA Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Cayman Islands Share Versión en español English version Overview Background Thr project aims to perform a probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for the Cayman Islands, and provide the seismic input necessary for the International Building Code (IBC). The GEM Hazard Team is responsible for the seismotectonic and geodynamic characterisation of the study area, the definition of distributed seismicity and fault sources, and the modelling of the epistemic uncertainties. Duration: 2020 Objectives The main objective is to provide input to the 2016 Cayman Islands Building Code, to support engineers in the seismic design and assessment of structures. Collaborators GEM Foundation, EUCENTRE Foundation Funding partner: Cayman Islands Government Location Cayman Islands

  • MALAWI MULTI-HAZARD | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects MALAWI MULTI-HAZARD Comprehensive Multi hazard Risk Assessment in Malawi Share Versión en español English version Overview Background Malawi is a country strongly affected by the impact of extreme events, exacerbated by rapid population growth and urbanization. A multi-risk assessment is currently lacking at the national level, while it is available only at the local level in some districts. Therefore, the project consortium intends to produce, for the first time, hazard and risk maps on a national level with a level of detail useful also at provincial level, using a probabilistic risk assessment approach, both for single hazards and for multi-hazard conditions (i.e. extreme winds and precipitation, earthquakes, landslides, river floods). The GEM Risk Team is reponsible for the seismic risk assessment, comprising the modelling of the hazard, exposure and vulnerability components and the calculations of seismic risk in the OpenQuake engine. Duration: 2023-2024 Objectives In line with the guidelines of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, the multi-hazard probabilistic assessment carried out within the project provides risk estimates for both the most probable and frequent events, as well as for rare ones; at the same time, it allows for the analysis of events that have never been observed, but may occur in the future, which is of particular importance considering the uncertainty caused by climate change. The assessment will therefore consider risks under current climate conditions as well as future conditions (2050-2100) under different climate change scenarios. For the realisation of the multi-risk assessment, the project partners will work closely with local stakeholders at all stages of the development, from data collection to the creation of the Risk Atlas and the Risk Information Web Platform, two tools that will collect information from the assessment and will make it easier to communicate and understand, thus following a capacity development approach that combines knowledge development with knowledge transfer. In addition, the partners will develop, again in collaboration with local stakeholders, a sustainability plan containing recommendations for maintaining and updating risk information, supporting the management, updating and accessibility of Malawi’s risk information by national and local authorities. Collaborators GEM Foundation, Centro Internazionale in Monitoraggio Ambientale (CIMA), Malawi University of Business and Applied Sciences (MUBAS), British Geological Survey (BGS) Funding partner: World Bank Group Location Malawi

  • ARISTOTLE | Global Earthquake Model Foundation

    Projects ARISTOTLE Multi-Hazard Expert Advice System for ERCC Share Versión en español English version Overview Background The ARISTOTLE consortium combines a number of services that enable a rapid understanding of events from various natural hazards (earthquakes and tsunami, volcanoes, severe weather and floods) and how they might unfold, thus aiding a deeper interpretation of the resulting hazards and impact. The GEM Foundation is supporting the consortium by providing an assessment of the impact of earthquakes using GEM's global exposure and vulnerability models, with a focus on metrics such as collapsed buildings and displaced people, such that it may provide an added value to existing rapid loss assessment services such as the USGS's Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER). Duration: 2022 - 2024 Objectives ARISTOTLE aims to provide Multi-Hazard Advice to the European Research Coordination Centre, either in advance of / during the activation of the EC Civil Protection Mechanism (CPM), in order to increase preparedness and response levels of the EU and to improve the ERCC’s assessment capacity. Collaborators ARISTOTLE is a multi-disciplinary partnership consisting of world-leading scientific centres in the areas of Earth and Climate sciences, providing operational and monitoring services, early warning and information systems as well as contributing to innovation and research actions. Location Global (Rome, Italy)

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