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Earthquake loss modelling for Disaster Risk Management: Linking Field Missions to Probabilistic Risk

March 14, 2024

Virtual via Teams

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OVERVIEW

Earthquake loss models support disaster risk management decisions, including building retrofit programmes, emergency planning and insurance. Their reliability depends on testing and refining them against observations from past earthquakes, including data collected during field missions.


Organised by EEFIT and SECED Young Members, this webinar featured Vitor Silva, Head of Risk Engineering, and Anirudh Rao, Senior Seismic Risk Modeller at the GEM Foundation. The presentations explored how GEM datasets and models can help teams prepare for field missions, and how observations gathered in the field can improve probabilistic earthquake risk assessments.


Examples included a World Bank project in Türkiye and findings from the February 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. The discussion examined how observed building performance can reveal differences between model assumptions and actual construction practices, helping researchers revise exposure models. It also covered the use of damage observations to calibrate vulnerability models and the contribution of field data to improving estimates of earthquake shaking and losses.


The webinar concluded with questions and discussion on connecting field reconnaissance with risk modelling to support disaster preparedness and risk reduction.

Agenda

Speakers & Panelists

Session Title

More invited speakers coming soon!

AGENDA

Session Title

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Auditorium

Time
Title
Speaker
Organisation

Global Ground Motion Flatfile

Christopher Brooks
GEM Foundation
13:00 - 14:30
Lunch
14:30 - 14:50
GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM Foundation
15:20- 15:50
Future Exposure/Risk to 2065
Alejandro Calderon
GEM Foundation
14:50- 15:10
Global Exposure of Infrastructure to Liquefaction
Catarina Costa
GEM Foundation
15:10 - 15:20
Global Carbon Cost of Earthquakes
Martina Caruso
GEM Foundation
15:50 - 16:20
Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters
16:20 - 16:50

Keynote: Advancing Seismic Risk Assessment in El Salvador using GEM Tools

Moderator: Lindsay Davis, USGS

Luis Mixco
MARN, El Salvador
16:50 - 17:30

Ignite Session for Live Demos

Moderator: Iain Stewart, University of Plymouth

Luis Mixco
MARN-El Salvador
Iwan Stalder
Zurich Insurance
Josip Atalic
University of Zagreb
Marzia Santini
European Commission
Trevor Allen
GA
Carmine Galasso
UCL
Vitor Silva
GEM
Marco Pagani
GEM
Helen Crowley
GEM
Carmine Galasso
UCL
Vitor Silva
GEM
Marco Pagani
GEM
Helen Crowley
GEM
Chung-Han Chan
National Central University
Ana Beatriz Acevedo
EAFIT University, Colombia
Jenty Kirsch-Wood
UNDRR
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM
Iain Stewart
GEM, University of Plymouth
Catalina Yepes-Estrada
GEM
Anirudh Rao
GEM
Karim Aljawhari
GEM
Jamal Dabbeek
GEM, An-Najah University
Karim Aljawhari
Fatemeh Jalayer
Maria Durante
Finn Løvholt
Romeu Vicente
Vitor Silva
GEM
Christopher Brooks
Daniela Di Bucci
DPC Italy
Jamal Dabbeek
GEM
Catalina Yepes
GEM
Helen Crowley
GEM
Christopher Brooks
GEM
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM
Manuela Villani
GEM
Marco Pagani
GEM
Catalina Yepes Estrada
GEM
Anirudh Rao
GEM
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh
GEM
Martina Caruso
GEM
Alejandro Calderón
GEM
Marco Baiguera
GEM
16:45-17:00
Q&A
Moderator
GEM
Catarina Costa
Meera Raghunandan
Cláudia Pinto
Al Mouayed Nafeh
Christopher Brooks
Maria Durante
Finn Løvholt
Stavroula Fotopou
Fatemah Jalayer
Romeu Vicente
Vitor Silva
GEM
PSHA models for the oceans (Pacific Region)
Development of the Pacific Islands (PAC) Model
16:20-16:45
Expansion plans under the FORCE project covering small island communities
Kirsty Bayliss
GEM
16:00-16:20
Overview of GEM's Global Seismic Hazard Mosaic
Kendra Johnson
GEM
Anil Pokhrel
Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority, Nepal
Nicolas Pondard
Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
Dominik Lang
Director, Natural Hazards Division, NGI, Norway
Shinji Takarada
Chief Senior Researcher, Geological Survey of Japan
Robert Emberson
Associate Program Manager, NASA Earth Applied Sciences Program
Janise Rodgers
COO, Geohazards International
Ramesh Guragain
Deputy Executive Director, National Society for Earthquake Technology (NSET) Nepal
Discussion: Forming a global geohazards risk assessment network (community of practice)
Malaika Ulmi and John Schneider
GSC and GEM
Renato Solidum, Jr.
Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines
Lindsay Davis
Manager, Global Portfolio-Earthquake Hazard & Risk, USAID/USGS
Christina Magill
Natural Hazard Risk Scientist, GNS Science, NZ
Anselmo Pedrazzi
Executive Coordinator, Applied Geology Division, (LAMESO-SGB), Brazil
Celestin Mahinda
Scientific Director, Research Center of Natural Sciences, Democratic Republic of Congo
Teresito Bacolcol
Director, Phivolcs, Philippines
Mabelline Cahulogan
Supervising Science Research Specialist, -Phivolcs, Philippines
Asaka Iwaki
Chief Researcher, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED), Japan
Hendriyawan Djazilus
Head, Ocean Engineering Program, ITB-Indonesia
Takeshi Sato
Senior Engineer, Earthquake and Tsunami Div, Japan Meteorological Agency
Panel 2: Existing Global Networks
John Schneider
Senior Advisor, GEM
Malaika Ulmi
Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada
Judith Giblin
Ocean & Coastal Risk Data Analyst, South Pacific (SPC)
Panel 1: Assessing National Capability
John Schneider and Malaika Ulmi
GEM and GSC
Gill Jolly
Chief Science Advisor, MBIE, GNS Science, NZ
Malaika Ulmi
Nat. Hazards & Climate Change Geoscience Program Manager, Geo Survey of Canada
Nicolas Pondard
Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist, The World Bank
Renato Solidum, Jr.
Secretary, Department of Science & Technology-Philippines
Anil Pokharel
Chief Executive, National Disaster Risk Reduction & Management Authority (NSET), Nepal
Shunichi Koshimura
Deputy Director, IRIDes-Tohoku University
Shubharoop Ghosh
Vice President, ImageCat, Inc.
Laurie Johnson
CEO, Laurie Johnson Consulting
Helen Crowley
Secretary General, GEM
postersdemos

Daily Oral Presentations Schedule

Daily Posters and Demos Schedule

POSTERS & DEMOS

Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment

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REGISTRATION

Registration was available for this EEFIT–YMSC SECED webinar, held on 14 March 2024 from 13:30 to 15:00 CET. GEM’s Vitor Silva and Anirudh Rao presented approaches linking earthquake field observations with probabilistic risk modelling.

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floorplan
Location

LOCATION

HOTEL

Transportation

TRANSPORTATION

RESOURCES

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Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

Videos

Gallery

Maps

Recording

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