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OVERVIEW
This summer school offers comprehensive training in earthquake impact assessment through a multi-hazard approach, covering ground shaking, liquefaction, landslides, and tsunamis.
Participants will learn how to perform earthquake scenarios using the OpenQuake-engine, drawing on recent events such as the 2023 Türkiye earthquake and the 2025 Myanmar earthquake.
This year’s programme also includes sessions on AI for exposure and vulnerability modelling, and on augmented and virtual reality for risk communication.
Participants will also have the opportunity to obtain an official OpenQuake-engine (Scenarios) certification.
Speakers & Panelists
Session Title
Marzia Santini
EU JRC
Hugo Rodrigues
University of Aveiro
Daniel Emilio
University of Aveiro
Daniel Gomez
GEM
Catalina Yepes
GEM
More invited speakers coming soon!
AGENDA
Session Title
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Auditorium
Time | Title | Speaker | Organisation |
|---|---|---|---|
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
* early career researcher with travel grant ^ early career researcher with fee waiver | |||
Session: GEM Global Release 2026 | |||
Daniel Gomez | |||
Marzia Santini | |||
Hugo Rodrigues | |||
Daniel Emilio | |||
Catalina Yepes | |||
Catarina Costa | |||
Lana Todorovic | |||
Christopher Brooks | |||
Karim Aljawhari | |||
Finn Løvholt
| |||
Vitor Silva | GEM | ||
09:30 - 10:00 | National seismic hazard assessment for dams: emphasis on Himalaya and Northeast Indian region | Mukat Lal Sharma | Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee |
10:00 - 10:30 | From fault data to fault sources in South America: Experiences and challenges from the GEM-SARA Project | Carlos Costa | Universidad Nacional de San Luis, Argentina |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Understanding the Regional Variability of Ground Motion across South America for Subduction Earthquakes | Jorge Luis Paredes Estacio | University of Bristol, UK |
11:45 - 12:15 | Residual Analysis of Algerian Strong-Motion Data for GMPE Validation and Site-Effects Assessment | Faouzi Gherboudj | Centre National de Recherche en Génie Parasismique, Algeria |
12:15 - 12:45 | Closure of National seismic hazard modelling workshop | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 (in Main Auditorium) | ||
09:00 - 09:30 | Transforming Seismic Hazard Models to Industry-Ready Risk Models | Jochen Woessner | Moody's RMS, Switzerland |
09:00 - 09:30 | Australian National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) | Trevor Allen | Geoscience Australia |
09:30 - 10:00 | Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for mainland France and the French Lesser Antilles islands | Céline Beauval | ISTerre, France |
10:00 - 10:30 | New Zealand NSHM | Matt Gerstenberger | Earth Sciences New Zealand |
10:30 - 11:15 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
11:15 - 11:45 | Seismic Hazard Assessment in Japan: Recent Updates and Emerging Challenges | Asako Iwaki | NIED, Japan |
11:45 - 12:15 | The USGS National Seismic Hazard Models and Their Use in U.S. Building Codes | Nico Luco | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:15 - 12:45 | Swiss NSHM | Laurentiu Danciu | SED/ETH Zurich, Switzerland |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
14:15 - 14:45 | Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for Taiwan: Updates and Improvements in TEM PSHA2025 | Chung-Han Chan | Earthquake-Disaster & Risk Evaluation and Management (E-DREaM) Center, Taiwan |
14:45 - 15:15 | Italian NSHM | Akinci and D'Amico | INGV, Italy |
15:15 - 15:45 | Progress towards updating Canada’s National Seismic Hazard and Risk Models | Michal Kolaj | Natural Resources Canada |
15:45 - 16:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
16:30 - 17:00 | Country-Scale Seismic Hazard Assessment in Data-Scarce Regions of the East African Rift | Mohammed Al-Ajamee | University of Khartoum, Sudan |
17:00 - 17:30 | NSHM Guidelines | ||
17:30 - 18:00 | Discussion | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 3 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Scenarios and Cascading Hazards Moderator: Indranil Kongar, University College London | |||
09:10 - 09:25 | The Global Tsunami Model association Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Model (GTMTHM26) progress | Stefano Lorito | INGV, Italy |
09:25 - 09:40 | From Hazard Science to Actionable Insights: Bridging the Global Tsunami Risk Gap for Societal and Financial Resilience | Naveen Ragu Ramalingam^ | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
09:40 - 09:55 | Toward Enhanced Portfolio Seismic Risk Estimates via Physics-Based Ground Motion Simulations | Preetish Kakoty | University College London, UK |
09:55 - 10:10 | A Methodology for Modeling of Mainshock-Aftershock Seismic Loss Assessment | Ömer Faruk Kalayci* | Istanbul Technical University, Turkey |
10:10 - 10:25 | Modelling earthquake sequences: When does damage accumulation matter? | Cecilia Nievas | GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Germany |
10:25 - 10:40 | Rethinking uncertainties for seismic hazard scenarios: A case study of the Lembang and Cimandiri faults in Indonesia | Ekbal Hussain | British Geological Survey |
10:40 - 11:25 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Recent Damaging Earthquakes and Emergency Response Moderator: Alexandru Tiganescu | |||
11:25 - 11:40 | Was the 30 September 2025 Mw6.9 Offshore Northern Cebu Earthquake Effectively Forecasted Using EBSPRA? | Azdine Kay Ysulan* | Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology |
11:40 - 11:55 | Towards the Development of Static Ground Displacement and Transient Ground Strain ShakeMaps | David Wald | U.S. Geological Survey |
11:55 - 12:10 | Developing PAGER 2.0: Next Generation Forecasts to Inform Rapid Global Earthquake Response | Kishor Jaiswal | U.S. Geological Survey |
12:10 - 12:25 | Towards uncertainty-based tsunami exposure models for rapid post-event assessment | Finn Løvholt | Norwegian Geotechnical Institute |
12:25 - 12:45 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Marzia Santini | Joint Research Centre, Italy |
12:45 - 13:00 | Closure of GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch / Governing Board Meeting | ||
15:00 | Field Trip | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Welcome to day 2 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
Session: Dynamic Exposure Modelling Moderator: TBD | |||
09:10 - 09:30 | Invited Talk: Forward‑looking Exposure Modelling for Human‑centred Urban Disaster Mitigation | Carmine Galasso | University College London, UK |
09:30 - 09:45 | Machine Learning Forecasting Techniques for Earth Observation Data | Christian Geiß | German Aerospace Center |
09:45 - 10:00 | Spatial Disaggregation and Temporal Projection of Building Exposure and Physical Vulnerability using Deep Constrained Clustering and Probabilistic Graph Deep Learning | Joshua Dimasaka* | University of Cambridge, UK |
10:00 - 10:15 | Predicting population displacement due to earthquakes globally | Nicole Paul | University College London, UK/ETH Zurich, Swizterland |
10:15 - 10:30 | Baseline Survey Framework for GEM-Standardised National Building Exposure Model towards Earthquake Risk Assessment in Uganda | Morris Oleng* | National Building Review Board, Uganda |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Next Generation Vulnerability Moderator: Ana Beatriz Acevedo, EAFIT University, Colombia | |||
11:30 - 11:45 | A Framework for Assessing the Seismic Vulnerability of Indonesian Infilled Masonry Dwellings | Angga Sabaruliman | The University of Sydney, Australia |
11:45 - 12:00 | Integrated Seismic Risk Assessment for Masonry Structures in the Marmara Region: AEM-Based Simulations and PML Comparative Analysis | Seyhan Okuyan Akcan^ | Boğaziçi University, Turkey |
12:00 - 12:15 | Reduction of seismic risk for typical URM residential buildings in Zagreb using target retrofitting | Ante Pilipović | University of Zagreb, Croatia |
12:15 - 12:30 | From spatial correlation to damage dependence and IM conversion in seismic risk models | Gerard O'Reilly | IUSS Pavia, Italy |
12:30 - 12:45 | Vulnerability modelling for embodied carbon (title TBD) | Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation |
12:45 - 14:15 | Lunch | ||
Session: Disaster Risk Reduction Applications Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | |||
14:15 - 14:30 | Reducing Disaster Risk: Translating Technical Models to Implementation | Veronica Cedillos | GeoHazards International, USA |
14:30 - 14:45 | Implementing and Scaling Up Earthquake Desks: A Practical Disaster Risk Reduction Application for Schools | Sweata Sijapati* | GeoHazards International, Nepal |
14:45 - 15:00 | From Risk Modelling to Policy Development: Early Applications of Canada’s National Seismic Risk Model | Carlos Molina Hutt | University of British Columbia, Canada |
15:00 - 15:15 | Scenario Risk Results for the Department of Antioquia (Colombia) | Ana Beatriz Acevedo | EAFIT University, Colombia |
15:15 - 15:45 | Panel Taking stock: Measuring impact in disaster risk reduction
Moderator: Jenty Kirsch Wood, UNDRR | ||
15:45 - 16:45 | Coffee break + demos + posters | ||
Session: Financial Risk Transfer Moderator: Laurie Johnson, Laurie Johnson Consulting | |||
16:45 - 17:00 | Invited Talk: Title TBD | Iwan Stalder | Zurich Insurance, Switzerland |
17:00 - 17:15 | Building a Nationwide, Seismic Sensor-based, Parametric Earthquake Insurance Program for Morocco | Evan Reis | Safehub, USA |
17:15 - 17:30 | GEM Product Applications in the (Re)insurance Industry | Molly Gallahue | Gallagher Re, UK |
17:30 - 17:45 | Understanding Earthquake Catastrophe Risk in the Balkans: A new Guy Carpenter Model | Robert Churchill | Guy Carpenter, UK |
17:45 - 18:00 | Advancing Catastrophe Models with Earthquake-Triggered Secondary Geoperils: A Case Study for Italy | Abril Sanchez | Aon/Impact Forecasting, Czech Republic |
Furkan Narlitepe | IUSS Pavia/GEM Foundation | ||
Karim Aljawhari | GEM Foundation | ||
Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation | ||
09:00 - 09:10 | Institutional Welcome | TBD | |
09:10 - 09:20 | CCEE and GEM | Josip Atalic | University of Zagreb |
09:20 - 09:30 | Welcome to the GEM Conference 2026 | Helen Crowley | GEM Foundation |
09:30 - 10:00 | Global Seismic Hazard v2026 | Marco Pagani | GEM Foundation |
10:00 - 10:30 | Global Seismic Risk v2026 | Vitor Silva | GEM Foundation |
10:30 - 11:30 | Coffee break + GEM demos + GEM PhD posters | ||
11:30 - 13:00 | GEM's Seismic Hazard Mosaic | Kendra Johnson | GEM Foundation |
Global Block Model (Active Faults Database) | Richard Styron | GEM Foundation | |
Global Stochastic Event Set (SEESAWS) | Manuela Vilani | GEM Foundation | |
Global Earthquake Catalogue | Kirsty Bayliss | GEM Foundation | |
Global Ground Motion Flat File | Christopher Brooks | GEM Foundation | |
13:00 - 14:30 | Lunch | ||
14:30 - 14:45 | GEM's New Vulnerability Modelling Framework | Al Mouayed Bellah Nafeh | GEM Foundation |
Syllabus
At the end of the school, what will I be able to do?
Participants will learn how to perform hazard and risk analysis using:
open-source tools, in particular the OpenQuake engine developed by the GEM Foundation, and open models and datasets covering the District of Lisbon
(Portugal), or datasets from their own regions.
They will be able to:
model earthquake scenarios using OpenQuake,
work with open data, models, and tools for hazard and risk analysis,
understand the main components required for multi-hazard
risk assessment,
explore the use of AI for exposure and vulnerability modelling,
understand how AR and VR can support risk communication,
present complex risk results to different stakeholders.
Who will teach?
Vitor Silva (University of Aveiro, GEM Foundation)
Finn Løvholt (Norwegian Geotechnical Institute)
Catalina Yepes (GEM Foundation)
Catarina Costa (GEM Foundation)
Lana Todorovic (GEM Foundation)
Christopher Brooks (GEM Foundation)
Karim Aljawhari (GEM Foundation)
Daniel Gomez (GEM Foundation)
Marzia Santini (EU JRC)
Hugo Rodrigues (University of Aveiro)
Daniel Emilio (University of Aveiro)
Download the flyer
POSTERS & DEMOS
Showcasing GEM Integration, Innovative Tools, and Advanced Data for Enhanced Hazard and Risk Assessment
LOCATION
HOTEL
TRANSPORTATION
RESOURCES
Videos
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Recording
Videos
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Recording