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  • GEM and Aon to Collaborate on the Development of a New Earthquake Model for Canada

    Latest News GEM and Aon to Collaborate on the Development of a New Earthquake Model for Canada READ MORE Photo caption: ​ GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS ​ GEM and Aon’s Impact Forecasting catastrophe model development team have signed a partnership agreement to develop a new earthquake model for Canada based on global collaborative science and the latest publicly available data and information from Natural Resources Canada (NRCan). The new model is expected to be available towards the end of 2019. The partnership will help gain deeper understanding of earthquake risk in Canada. The new model will allow insurance underwriters to more accurate pricing of their insurance products as well as effectively manage their portfolios. Consumers will also benefit because the model is based on openly available data and assumptions that are fully transparent to everyone. The model will be implemented in Impact Forecasting’s risk modeling platform – ELEMENTS – as well as Oasis-based platforms. Impact Forecasting will support the use of the model in the Canadian market, which includes deployment, training and ongoing support. “GEM and Aon both value the importance of transparent and open hazard and risk modeling. We believe that this approach is key to better technical understanding of risk, and directly supports GEM’s initiative to promote the sharing of high quality open risk information globally,” said John Schneider, GEM Secretary General. “We have chosen to partner with GEM because of its global reputation for open and high-quality science and engineering-based risk modelling, combined with their close collaboration with Natural Resources Canada. In addition we are excited to bring enhanced understanding of this earthquake risk to the insurance industry with a goal of ultimately increasing resilience across Canada,” added Adam Podlaha, Head of Aon’s Impact Forecasting team. The model is being developed in phases starting with earthquake shaking including liquefaction, tsunami and other secondary perils. Tsunami modeling will be implemented in collaboration with University College London (UCL). The proposed modeling solution from Impact Forecasting will be based on GEM’s earthquake risk model for Canada, developed in collaboration with NRCan, which officially joined GEM as a public sponsor last year. NRCan leads a consortium of Canadian organizations including Public Safety Canada, Insurance Bureau of Canada, Defence Research and Development Canada, as well as academic and planning professionals. Phil Hill, Director, Geological Survey of Canada-Pacific (NRCan), and GEM Governing Board member for Canada, commented, “The GEM-IF Canada earthquake risk model is an important step in making credible and open disaster risk information available and accessible in Canada.” GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS 1/0

  • New Horizon 2020 project launched to develop an advanced approach for Seismic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants

    Latest News New Horizon 2020 project launched to develop an advanced approach for Seismic Risk Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants READ MORE Photo caption: ​ GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS ​ 29th September 2020: The METHODS AND TOOLS INNOVATIONS FOR SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT (METIS) H2020 Project has been officially launched opening a promising research collaboration to improve confidence in nuclear safety by advancing the approach utilised for seismic safety assessments for Nuclear Power Plants. The major goal of METIS is to propose innovations in tools and methodologies for seismic safety assessment of reactors, and supporting technology transfer from the research community to the industry. It aims to develop common guidelines for seismic safety assessment at the European level, in line with international practice and consensus, and promote good practices across the community. The outcome contributes to facilitate risk-informed decision-making in the European context. The advanced tools and methodologies developed by METIS will be made available to a wider community thanks to the capitalisation in modern high-performance open source tools as OpenQuake, code_aster/ salome_meca, OpenSees, and SCRAM. METIS is an EU-funded 4-year project under the Horizon 2020 EURATOM Programme for Research and Innovation having a total budget of €5 million, of which €4 million is funded from the European Commission. The project will be delivered by an international consortium gathering 13 European partners from France, Germany, Italy, Greece, UK, Ukraine and Slovenia alongside with 3 organisations from US and Japan. The consortium brings together universities, research organisations and industrials so as to create an ideal ecosystem for research, development, and its dissemination and application by end users. The consortium had a virtual kick off meeting held over two days 29th-30th September 2020 attended by 78 participants. The first day was the plenary session which outlined all the Work Packages’ (WP) and on the second day, there was a WP coordination session for more detailed discussion. Irmela Zentner, R&D Expert at EDF and lead of the project: “We are really excited to start this project, where we aim to improve confidence in nuclear power plants and their competitiveness using advanced seismic safety assessments. In these challenging times, we had a successful collaboration with all the partners to build up METIS and get it funded by H2020 Programme. Our recent kick-off meeting, while held remotely, was a really successful event with high engagement from all partners promising a rich and effective collaboration going forward.” List of project partners: Electricté de France EDF R&D UK Centre Limited Liability Company Energorisk Fondazione GEM GeoForschungsZentrum Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire University School for Advanced Studies Pavia LGI National Technical University of Athens Géodynamique et Structures State Scientific and Technical Center for Nuclear and Radiation Safety Technical University of Kaiserslautern University of Ljubljana Geotechnical Research Institute North Carolina State University Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Institute ENDS Notes to editors For further information contact: Emma.Luguterah@edfenergy.com or 0208 935 2714 About EDF Electricité de France (EDF) was set up in 1946 out of the desire to have a national electrical utility that could help rebuild the country after the Second World War. Since its creation, the company has had the responsibility for generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity in France. EDF remains one of the European utilities with a significant R&D activity and effort on innovation. Around 2500 people are presently employed at EDF R&D, amongst which, 70% are researchers and executives. EDF is today one of the leading energy companies, with solid positions in major European countries. EDF is committed to creating long term, low carbon affordable energy and the safety and sustained performance of nuclear and hydraulic plants is one of the key issues in this regard. EDF participates in the project through its research and development (R&D) unit. EDF R&D has the mission to contribute to increasing performance, efficiency and safety of operating units of EDF Group. Collaborative research projects are a vital component for EDF, creating an invaluable forum for exchange and knowledge-sharing. Through them, innovations are developed, disseminated, and industrialized. EDF R&D is also a major national player in opensource simulation software development and dissemination. In particular, it develops and disseminates code_aster opensource Finite Elements Software www.code-aster.org . Website address: https://www.edf.fr H2020 EURATOM Programme Horizon 2020 is the biggest EU Research and Innovation programme ever with nearly €80 billion of funding available over 7 years (2014 to 2020) In addition to the private investment that this money will attract. It promises more breakthroughs, discoveries and world-firsts by taking great ideas from the lab to the market. Horizon 2020 is the financial instrument implementing the Innovation Union, a Europe 2020 flagship initiative aimed at securing Europe's global competitiveness. EURATOM aims to pursue nuclear research and training activities with an emphasis on continually improving nuclear safety, security and radiation protection, notably to contribute to the long-term decarbonisation of the energy system in a safe, efficient and secure way. By contributing to these objectives, the Euratom Programme will reinforce outcomes under the three priorities of Horizon 2020: Excellent science, Industrial leadership and Societal challenges. GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS 1/0

  • China

    Please fill in the form below to download or view the document. Thank you. China Product Additional Requests Sector arrow&v I have read and agree to comply with the license terms of this product, and the conditions of products use. Reset fields Submit Download Thank you. Please click Download to get your item. Provide feedback to GEM on the use and impact of the product e.g. feedback survey. Share with GEM where the product was used i.e. research, publications or projects.

  • Sub-Saharan Africa | Global EarthQuake Model Foundation

    Products Sub-Saharan Africa Product type Model Now DESCRIPTION Sub-Saharan Africa is part of GEM's Global Earthquake Hazard and Risk Maps released to the public in December 2018. As part of the mosaic, the seismic hazard, exposure and vulnerability models employed in the calculations were either provided by national institutions, or developed within the scope of regional programs, bilateral collaborations, or by GEM. Click View for details. Hazard GEM (unreleased): The Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Earthquake Model was developed by GEM in collaboration with AfricaArray within the USAID-supported SSAHARA project. The original model is extensively described in Poggi et al. (2017), while an extended and improved version was developed in 2018. Maintained by GEM Product type Model Availability Now View Documentation Request an NDA Product restrictions Open By Attribution, Share-Alike and Commercial use provided the by-products are shared under the same conditions as the original license License type CC BY-SA Request for Commercial License Request for Commercial Use Exposure Exposure data for Admin level 1 for population, commercial, industrial and residential buildings Maintained by GEM Product type Model Availability Now View Documentation Request an NDA Product restrictions Non-Disclosure Agreement (By request for public-good, non-commercial use) License type NDA Request for Commercial License Request for Commercial Use Vulnerability Vulnerability curves for all building classes Maintained by GEM Product type Model Availability Now View Documentation Request an NDA Product restrictions Open By Attribution, Share-Alike and Commercial use provided the by-products are shared under the same conditions as the original license License type CC BY-SA Request for Commercial License Request for Commercial Use Country Profiles Title Status Maintained by GEM Licence type CC BY-SA Availability Now Product restrictions Open By Attribution, Share-Alike and Commercial use provided the by-products are shared under the same conditions as the original license GEM License Types AGPL – GNU Affero General Public License, used mostly for software CC BY – Creative Commons, By-Attribution CC BY-SA – Creative Commons, By-Attribution, Share-Alike CC BY-NC-SA – Creative Commons, By Attribution, Non-Commercial, Share-Alike NDA – Non-Disclosure Agreement (By request for public-good, non-commercial use.) Other/Commercial – If a product is not available under a license that suits your needs, such as for commercial application, please contact us to discuss your use case and other partnership/licensing options and fees. More details on GEM’s licensing terms here . Apologies for the inconvenience, the online NDA application is temporarily unavailable due to ongoing revisions.Please send your request to product@globalquakemodel.org . Thank you.

  • Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model for the Philippines

    Publications SHORT INTRO The Philippine archipelago is tectonically complex and seismically hazardous, yet few seismic hazard assessments have provided national coverage. This article presents an updated probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the nation. Active shallow crustal seis [..] ALL DETAILS Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model for the Philippines Please fill in the form below to download or view the document. Thank you. page Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis model for the Philippines Additional Requests Provide feedback to GEM on the use and impact of the product e.g. feedback survey. Share with GEM where the product was used i.e. research, publications or projects. Reset fields Submit Download Thank you. Please click "download" button to get your item. I have read and agree to comply with the license terms of this product, and the conditions of products use. Sector arrow&v

  • Earthquake Science for re/insurance decision makers

    Latest News Earthquake Science for re/insurance decision makers READ MORE Photo caption: Leveraging GEM vulnerability database in loss modelling: a comprehensive approach towards risk quantification. GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS Leveraging GEM vulnerability database in loss modelling: a comprehensive approach towards risk quantification. On September 23rd Willis Towers Watson - Willis Research Network organized a webinar on Earthquake science for (re)insurance decision-makers: Bridging the Gap Between Academia and Industry where close to 200 attendees participated. The webinar featured GEM’s Marco Pagani and Vitor Silva to discuss how the industry can leverage the latest research outputs from GEM. Marco Pagani, GEM Hazard Team Coordinator discussed leveraging the GEM model for probabilistic loss estimation and presented the GEM Global Earthquake Model 2020 updates and future program. Vitor Silva, GEM Risk Team Coordinator presented the GEM exposure and vulnerability updates with focus on a region where GEM has utilized high resolution data for model development, and on non-residential areas to highlight relevance to the insurance industry. Marco and Vitor were joined by Myrto Papaspiliou, Massimiliano Arizzi and Crescenzo Petrone - Willis Re’s earthquake experts who further discussed scientific developments in seismic hazard and risk analysis, and their translation into (re)insurance business applications. After presenting and discussing how to use GEM exposure and vulnerability databases to enhance loss assessment and leverage GEM model for probabilistic loss estimation, the panelists arrived at two conclusions: - analytics and the input from academia will play a significant role in managing risk under current market conditions; and - leveraging GEM outputs in business decision-making can significantly improve capital management and control earnings volatility. For more details on the webinar, visit WTW’s blog at https://www.willistowerswatson.com/en-GB/Insights/2020/11/earthquake-science-for-re-insurance-decision-makers . GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS 1/3

  • Scientific Collaboration a vital element for productivity

    Latest News Scientific Collaboration a vital element for productivity READ MORE Photo caption: ​ GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS ​ In this story, GEM interviewed Phil Cummins of Geoscience Australia to get to know how he got started with earthquake hazard and risk modelling, his insights, perspectives on the impact of GEM on earthquake hazard model development, the importance of supporting GEM initiatives and the importance of its work especially in places in the world where earthquake risk is very much underappreciated. Here’s an excerpt from his interview entitled: Scientific Collaboration a vital element for productivity. “GEM impacted the way we do work at Geoscience Australia because our partnership with GEM allowed us to focus more on the quality of our data and our data analysis rather than the software development. And this really resulted in a dramatic improvement in the Australian earthquake hazard model.” - Phil Cummins The full story is available at https://www.globalquakemodel.org/gemstories/scientific-collaboration-a-vital-element-for-productivity . If you're a GEM partner and have a story to share that leverages GEM products and expert advice; or concretely showcases GEM impact or use of GEM products in your organization, email us at communication@globalquakemodel.org . We would love to feature your success stories! GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS 1/3

  • Will measuring losses to natural disasters really tell us about changes in risk?

    Latest News Will measuring losses to natural disasters really tell us about changes in risk? READ MORE Photo caption: ​ GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS ​ Two years ago, in March 2015, representatives of 187 countries met in Sendai, Japan to agree to the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction for the period 2015 to 2030. Last month, on February 2nd, the UN General Assembly approved seven global targets to reduce risk from natural disasters, and agreed to a set of indicators for measuring global progress toward these targets. The indicators for Targets A, B, and C aim to reduce by 2030 mortality, affected people, and economic loss, respectively. The targets will be to reduce impacts in a relative sense, so that mortality and affected people will be measured per 100,000 population; and economic loss will be measured in relation to gross domestic product. Global Target D aims to reduce risk to critical infrastructure, including health and educational facilities. In the article “How can the world reduce losses for the poor?” Robert Glasser, UNISDR, states that the measurement of the indicators introduces a “major degree of accountability” for the seven global targets, but will the proposed measurement of disaster losses actually be useful for monitoring changes in risk? The answer is yes and no. Why the Sendai indicators are not enoughWhile measuring these indicators will be quite useful, it is highly unlikely that this monitoring process alone will allow the world to accurately measure the actual reduction in risk, particularly for rare, high impact events, such as major earthquakes, cyclones and volcanic eruptions. For instance, Munich Re estimates that worldwide the average annual deaths for the past ten years from all natural disasters was about 60,000 people, while last year accounted for only 8,600 deaths. Yet, in the 2004 Indian Ocean Earthquake and Tsunami, more than 230,000 people died in a single event. With such a high variation in annual losses at the global scale, there is little chance that monitoring such variation alone will give us an accurate picture of risk at a global scale, and certainly not at a national or urban scale. An alternative way of more accurately measuring riskBy the end of 2018, GEM will have produced a global earthquake risk model, which will provide a baseline at national level for earthquake hazard and risk globally. Moreover, the model and all of the tools and data underlying the model will be available openly, freely and transparently for the public good. This information can and should be used to monitor risk. Since risk is a function of hazard, vulnerability and exposure, the trends in these variables measured over time will allow us to determine the extent to which we are meeting the global targets for risk reduction. Moreover, this will be possible not only at the global level, but also at the national and even urban/local levels. Changes in exposure will be necessary to determine how the distribution of population, assets and investments are evolving spatially and temporally. Similarly, measuring vulnerability will be critical to understand how social, physical and economic factors are evolving and contributing to changing risk. Changes in the physical risk to schools, hospitals and other vulnerable building types can be estimated at local to global levels by collecting exposure and vulnerability information and tracking retrofits and new construction over time. One approach would be to collect information on the ratios of numbers of buildings constructed above and below building code standards, such as for unreinforced masonry, the building class most vulnerable to earthquake damage and casualties. Trends could be tracked to estimate changes in risk in terms of potential physical and economic loss. Finally, disaster mitigation could be incentivized by providing tools to demonstrate the cost-benefits of retrofitting or replacing these and other vulnerable buildings in high-risk areas. Thus, the information in risk models can be used to both track changes in risk as well as to identify cost-effective opportunities for risk mitigation and reduction activities. GEM’s contribution to disaster risk reductionGEM is very well placed to assist in the process of informing the recently agreed Sendai targets by working with countries to develop national earthquake hazard models, by assisting in collecting and analyzing vulnerability and exposure data, and by combining this information into a risk modeling and monitoring framework at national and urban levels. This would be accomplished by further developing partnerships in developing countries to increase their capacity to assess and manage earthquake risks. GEM is also developing tools that can be used in both developing and developed countries to assess the costs and benefits of mitigating and/or reducing these risks. With continued investment over time, these and other risk models, tools and data can be further developed to provide much needed support to achieving the goals of the Sendai Framework. GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS 1/0

  • OpenQuake Platform (v.2019)

    Please fill in the form below to download or view the document. Thank you. OpenQuake Platform (v.2019) Product Additional Requests Sector arrow&v I have read and agree to comply with the license terms of this product, and the conditions of products use. Reset fields Submit Download Thank you. Please click Download to get your item. Provide feedback to GEM on the use and impact of the product e.g. feedback survey. Share with GEM where the product was used i.e. research, publications or projects.

  • Africa Earthquake Model: A major step in understanding earthquake risk in Africa

    Latest News Africa Earthquake Model: A major step in understanding earthquake risk in Africa READ MORE Photo caption: Aerial shot of Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania urban center GALLERY RELATED CONTENTS RELATED CONTENTS Aerial shot of Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania urban center The GEM Foundation released the Africa Earthquake Hazard and Risk model on 15th May 2019 in recognition of UNDRR's * Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction 2019 in Geneva. The technical data and information for this model can now be downloaded from the Africa Model webpage . The Africa Earthquake model underpins the African portion of GEM’s global maps released in December 2018. ​ “The Africa Earthquake Model is an important scientific contribution to ongoing efforts to reduce earthquake risk in Africa and globally.”- Djillali Benouar, Chair of Africa Science & Technology Advisory Group on DRR for the African Union. ​ The Africa Earthquake Model paints a complete picture of earthquake risk to the continent in terms of potential damage to buildings and direct economic loss. ​ The results can be used by risk managers, urban planners, emergency responders and humanitarian agencies for input to a wide range of disaster risk reduction activities including monitoring of the Sendai Framework indicators. ​ “Presently the model directly supports Sendai Framework Target C by providing estimates of direct economic losses at the national and subnational levels. Through further collaborative efforts, we plan to continue to improve the model to address Targets A, B and D by providing estimates of deaths, missing and affected persons, and impact to critical infrastructure,” said John Schneider, GEM Secretary General. ​ Read the complete text of the press release here . ​ ---------- * The former UNISDR has been formally renamed UNDRR. GALLERY No images found. RELATED CONTENTS Africa Earthquake Hazard map Africa Earthquake Exposure map Africa Earthquake Risk map Africa Earthquake Hazard map 1/3