Modelling Seismic Risk in Greece Methodology, Applications, Perspective
Authors
Kassaras et al.
Physical risk
Topic
Year
2017
During the last six years, our working group elaborated intense work on seismic risk assessment
in several Greek cities, targeting site-specific models and allowing for tailor-made management
actions in case of a crisis. In this paper we will present the main framework and the outcome of
the applied methodologies on several case studies, indicating pros and cons, and highlighting
future perspectives. Our approach includes: (a) Probabilistic and deterministic seismic hazard
assessment based on comprehensive
To this, new data concerning the location, geometry, and the seismic potential of faults, together
with free-field ambient noise recordings have been collected through numerous field surveys;
(b) Vulnerability assessment of elements at risk informed by newly created observed damage
databases and in-situ observations; (c) Development of physical risk models including
structural damage, and economic loss for several ground motion excitations scenarios. Future
improvements that fall in with, and/or are beyond the current state-of-the-art, include: (a)
and vulnerability assessment; (b) Socioeconomic impact analyses towards the mitigation of
risk, enhancement of preparedness and resilience of the social and economic fabric, and (c)
Applications for near real-time damage assessme
